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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pacers35%9785
1676ers65%10276
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.0
44.1
35.3
30
58%
12
0
1
1
2
4
1
11
1-2
50%
10-16
5-10
63%
48%
3-9
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
39.9
37.4
15
54%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
2-6
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
29.7
24.2
9
56%
9
3
1
1
1
0
0
9
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
19.7
25.0
7
70%
1
6
1
1
0
7
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
16.9
25.3
5
87%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.3
34.8
27.9
5
24%
8
3
0
1
2
3
1
7
1-1
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
28.3
21.5
6
38%
6
8
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-4
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
21.0
20.1
4
29%
7
3
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-8
29%
45%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.1
5.6
11.0
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
9.3
0
1-2
42%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.7
5.2
0
1-1
52%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
3.7
0
1-1
49%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.1
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
37.7
32.5
7
51%
17
1
2
1
2
2
8
9
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
35.6
36.4
23
53%
7
2
1
1
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
11-21
7-13
52%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.8
33.5
24.8
21
50%
5
1
2
1
0
4
1
4
1-5
20%
10-19
4-7
53%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
30.2
39.8
9
51%
3
10
4
2
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
6-11
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
26.6
23.1
6
18%
9
1
3
1
0
0
2
7
2-6
33%
2-9
4-9
22%
48%
0-5
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
24.6
24.9
6
23%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
22.5
13.7
2
9%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-9
2-4
11%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
16.3
13.9
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.3
10.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.4
2.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.9
0.9
17.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
6.1
0
0-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.