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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks59%99116
25Knicks41%96104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
43.5
39.6
34
75%
4
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
49%
6-9
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
42.9
30.6
24
62%
6
4
2
1
0
5
0
6
1-1
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
47%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.8
40.3
31.9
7
45%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.3
39.5
36.2
24
69%
6
4
1
1
2
2
1
5
10-12
83%
7-12
6-12
58%
50%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
33.1
25.7
19
68%
11
1
2
1
2
2
2
9
7-9
78%
6-10
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
34.4
32.4
6
50%
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
58%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
6.3
19.1
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
0.2
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
10.2
0
1-3
46%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.2
5.5
0
1-1
47%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
45.8
28.8
20
59%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
5-8
63%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
38.1
24.7
7
39%
9
0
1
1
0
2
7
2
1-2
50%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.0
37.5
20.8
13
40%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-1
0%
5-12
2-5
42%
43%
1-4
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
30.9
25.4
17
57%
9
1
0
1
1
5
3
6
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
48%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
23.1
23.2
14
64%
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.9
31.8
27.4
18
54%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
2-4
50%
8-14
4-8
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.9
23.2
22.4
13
50%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.1
9.6
19.6
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
18.3
1
2-4
43%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
17.4
1
2-3
54%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.4
8.2
0
1-3
41%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.3
7.0
0
1-2
49%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.4
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.