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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies47%9696
29Heat53%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.8
35.7
33.6
17
57%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
6-9
67%
4-9
6-11
44%
54%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
34.5
27.0
15
64%
7
3
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
30.7
25.1
15
55%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
25.6
36.5
14
35%
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
4-5
80%
5-12
6-13
42%
51%
0-6
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
9.8
18.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
30.8
24.3
17
53%
6
4
3
1
0
1
0
6
4-9
44%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
25.2
2.8
4
34%
11
1
2
0
0
1
6
5
0-2
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
52%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
20.4
2.9
10
83%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
14.3
5.0
2
50%
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
13.1
17.9
2
35%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.3
18.7
1
3-5
48%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.1
6.0
0
1-1
53%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.6
40.4
37.4
17
47%
7
3
3
1
1
1
0
7
4-5
80%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
3-8
38%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
36.8
32.5
14
47%
7
8
3
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
2-6
33%
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
35.8
32.9
11
43%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-8
4-7
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
28.5
24.7
5
20%
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
1-1
100%
2-11
4-8
18%
52%
0-1
0%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
26.9
17.5
9
47%
9
0
0
1
2
4
6
3
5-6
83%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
22.0
28.8
11
61%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
3-8
38%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
18.9
23.5
22
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
4-4
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
18.4
21.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
8.1
14.3
2
25%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
4.3
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
6.8
0
1-1
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.4
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.