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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30SuperSonics9%8474
4Spurs91%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
37.1
33.7
17
57%
3
3
2
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
8-14
5-11
57%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
36.0
33.1
8
35%
14
1
1
1
0
2
3
11
0-1
0%
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
34.7
36.0
20
49%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
2-3
67%
9-19
7-15
47%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
30.2
32.8
10
42%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
19.3
17.3
2
33%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
27.3
24.2
10
47%
7
0
2
1
1
2
0
7
4-6
67%
3-8
3-8
38%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
26.3
19.9
4
22%
5
4
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
20.0
22.3
3
25%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.8
4.6
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.2
4.6
5.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
7.6
0
1-3
51%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.4
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
29.3
31.9
20
56%
3
7
2
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
10-17
8-14
59%
54%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
28.2
25.6
14
48%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
1-5
20%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
26.4
20.5
10
59%
10
3
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
60%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
25.7
30.5
4
67%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
24.3
32.3
12
39%
6
2
0
1
4
0
1
5
4-8
50%
4-12
8-15
33%
54%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
27.3
23.4
13
72%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
3-4
75%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
22.4
17.0
6
43%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
19.2
6.0
5
36%
10
0
0
0
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
0-4
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
17.9
13.9
7
66%
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
13.5
4.7
2
17%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-2
0%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
5.9
4.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
27.5
1
4-7
53%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.