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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Hornets38%99104
2Lakers62%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
41.1
35.6
14
53%
5
3
1
1
1
4
0
5
4-5
80%
5-10
8-15
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.9
39.5
33.6
15
45%
6
17
4
2
0
3
1
5
7-8
88%
4-12
6-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.8
39.2
33.2
24
75%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
6-11
55%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.5
33.9
32.6
18
101%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
8-8
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
19.5
19.2
7
70%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
21.1
18.6
17
52%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
7-14
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
19.7
20.2
6
47%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
9.0
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
6.2
15.3
3
150%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
5.8
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
5.0
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.4
7.1
0
1-1
47%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
43.1
36.6
29
68%
10
8
2
1
0
1
1
9
8-10
80%
6-10
7-14
60%
49%
3-7
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
41.2
30.1
25
83%
6
3
0
0
2
1
4
2
7-7
100%
9-12
5-10
75%
53%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
40.1
35.6
13
52%
16
3
1
1
0
2
4
12
7-8
88%
3-7
4-8
43%
54%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.7
29.0
24.8
15
63%
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
3-7
43%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
23.0
28.6
2
14%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-6
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
20.0
20.9
9
57%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
19.0
20.1
8
44%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
2-6
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.0
17.8
15.6
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.2
6.8
15.2
2
53%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
5.9
0
1-1
50%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
5.5
0
0-1
44%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.5
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.