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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1776ers38%9493
15Wizards62%98109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
44.2
34.7
22
65%
6
7
3
2
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
4-8
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
41.7
34.9
16
35%
5
10
2
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
7-22
6-13
32%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
37.5
34.2
9
53%
12
1
0
1
1
2
5
7
5-8
63%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.8
33.1
28.2
15
80%
7
1
1
1
0
2
0
7
3-3
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
22.8
24.5
15
63%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.5
26.5
24.6
11
56%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
13.5
18.0
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.9
10.8
10.3
3
80%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
7.3
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.3
1.3
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
1.3
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.4
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
40.7
30.7
25
59%
13
1
1
1
1
3
3
10
6-7
86%
8-17
5-10
47%
48%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
38.8
18.3
10
50%
4
4
0
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
32.0
28.4
19
80%
4
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
5-7
71%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.1
28.3
23.7
12
65%
2
6
3
1
0
2
2
0
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
27.1
27.8
5
23%
10
0
1
0
1
0
7
3
1-2
50%
2-10
4-7
20%
54%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
25.1
20.8
20
67%
7
5
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
4-9
44%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
19.4
19.2
9
71%
3
0
1
1
3
1
1
2
1-3
33%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
18.2
16.1
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
10.4
8.0
3
31%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
34.6
2
4-9
49%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
12.9
0
2-4
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
6.5
0
1-1
51%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.