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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs32%9585
1Lakers68%100106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
33.3
26.2
11
50%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
33.2
27.9
4
38%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
31.9
28.4
16
36%
12
2
0
1
0
1
6
6
4-7
57%
6-19
7-13
32%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
28.6
30.3
20
60%
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
8.9
22.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
28.2
24.7
14
60%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
21.6
15.8
8
80%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
20.0
19.2
1
11%
2
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
16.4
9.0
6
50%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-1
0%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
9.4
6.7
3
39%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
8.6
12.3
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
17.5
1
2-4
49%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
5.8
0
0-1
48%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
37.8
36.2
17
53%
14
4
0
1
0
0
2
12
7-9
78%
5-11
4-8
45%
54%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
31.9
37.8
20
60%
5
5
2
2
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
3-8
7-13
38%
49%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
28.3
32.8
14
47%
11
3
1
0
2
1
4
7
0-0
-
7-15
6-11
47%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.7
24.2
25.8
14
78%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
23.2
26.2
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.0
25.9
16.6
7
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
23.8
19.7
11
94%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
20.7
20.5
8
57%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.2
17.6
12.8
10
56%
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
49%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
4.4
4.3
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
2.0
4.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
4.9
0
1-2
48%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.5
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.