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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks78%10195
30SuperSonics22%9199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
34.4
34.0
32
61%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
2-3
67%
9-16
8-15
56%
51%
4-9
44%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
31.9
33.4
25
61%
2
3
0
1
2
1
0
2
5-6
83%
10-13
5-9
77%
52%
0-5
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
31.3
26.1
1
27%
8
3
0
0
0
0
3
5
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.1
31.1
32.9
4
29%
6
8
1
2
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
28.1
29.4
16
51%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
6-6
100%
2-10
6-12
20%
50%
2-3
67%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.5
26.3
19.2
3
21%
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
20.9
22.6
4
69%
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.8
12.3
10.0
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
11.5
18.7
2
13%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
52%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
7.7
9.3
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
4.6
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
10.6
0
1-2
48%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.8
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
41.6
34.1
21
60%
8
10
1
1
1
2
3
5
7-8
88%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
40.9
31.3
13
38%
8
5
1
1
1
0
2
6
5-5
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
46%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
39.8
34.7
19
46%
5
3
1
1
2
1
0
5
5-6
83%
7-17
7-15
41%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
35.2
33.4
18
53%
11
0
2
1
1
1
5
6
4-7
57%
7-14
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
34.5
25.1
9
38%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.3
25.4
21.5
12
58%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
16.2
22.1
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
6.5
17.9
3
44%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
7.4
0
1-3
54%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.8
6.2
0
1-1
44%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.2
5.5
0
1-1
44%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.4
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.