Final Win Prob. pScore
2912%87
75
1188%102
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
88.28579.8
TOR logo Raptors
108.38489.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA75
91
Q4 - 0:17.0TORHumphries Tip Shot (2 PTS)75
91
Q4 - 0:17.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
89
Q4 - 0:18.0TORMISS Humphries 7' Jump Shot75
89
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAAhearn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)75
89
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAAhearn Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)75
89
Q4 - 0:47.0TORBrezec T.FOUL (P0.T3)74
89
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound74
89
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot74
89
Q4 - 1:01MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
89
Q4 - 1:03TORMISS Brezec Driving Layup74
89
Q4 - 1:22MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Powell 3 AST)74
89
Q4 - 1:41TORBrezec 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)71
89
Q4 - 2:04MIASUB: Anthony FOR Barron71
87
Q4 - 2:04TORSUB: Graham FOR Delfino71
87
Q4 - 2:04TORSUB: Humphries FOR Nesterovic71
87
Q4 - 2:04TORSUB: Brezec FOR Bosh71
87
Q4 - 2:04TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)71
87
Q4 - 2:04MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)71
87
Q4 - 2:24TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)71
87
Q4 - 2:37MIAPowell 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)71
85
Q4 - 2:55MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
85
Q4 - 2:56TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot69
85
Q4 - 3:02MIASUB: Lasme FOR Davis69
85
Q4 - 3:02MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn69
85
Q4 - 3:02MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
85
Q4 - 3:07TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
85
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot69
85
Q4 - 3:11MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
85
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup69
85
Q4 - 3:22TORKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)69
85
Q4 - 3:33TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
85
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup69
85
Q4 - 3:54TORNesterovic Layup (20 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)69
85
Q4 - 4:06TORRAPTORS Rebound69
83
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
83
Q4 - 4:17TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T3)69
83
Q4 - 4:18TORKapono P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
83
Q4 - 4:32TORBosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)69
83
Q4 - 4:46TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
83
Q4 - 4:48MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)69
83
Q4 - 4:58MIASUB: Davis FOR Blount69
83
Q4 - 4:58TORDelfino P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
83
Q4 - 5:13TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)69
83
Q4 - 5:17MIADelfino STEAL (2 STL)69
81
Q4 - 5:28MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
81
Q4 - 5:29TORMISS Delfino 16' Jump Shot69
81
Q4 - 5:41MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)69
81
Q4 - 5:55TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani69
81
Q4 - 5:55MIASUB: Cook FOR Anthony69
81
Q4 - 5:55MIASUB: Barron FOR Davis69
81
Q4 - 5:5569
81
Q4 - 5:55MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)69
81
Q4 - 6:11TORKapono 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
81
Q4 - 6:20TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
79
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 6:35TORKapono 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)69
79
Q4 - 6:49TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
76
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
76
Q4 - 7:12TORNesterovic 4' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)69
76
Q4 - 7:14TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
74
Q4 - 7:17TORMISS Bargnani Layup69
74
Q4 - 7:33TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
74
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
74
Q4 - 7:47MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
74
Q4 - 7:48TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot69
74
Q4 - 8:09MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)69
74
Q4 - 8:25MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
74
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 8:33TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
74
Q4 - 8:34TORMISS Calderon Tip Shot66
74
Q4 - 8:35TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
74
Q4 - 8:36TORMISS Bargnani 9' Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 8:55MIADavis Driving Layup (11 PTS)66
74
Q4 - 9:00TORKapono Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)64
74
Q4 - 9:15MIACalderon STEAL (2 STL)64
74
Q4 - 9:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)64
74
Q4 - 9:39TORKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)64
74
Q4 - 9:52MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)64
72
Q4 - 10:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
72
Q4 - 10:02TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 10:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
72
Q4 - 10:14MIAHeat Rebound64
72
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 10:39MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
72
Q4 - 10:40TORMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 10:47MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron64
72
Q4 - 10:47MIABarron P.FOUL (P5.T1)64
72
Q4 - 10:57TORKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
72
Q4 - 10:58TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 11:14TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
72
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Powell 7' Driving Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 11:38TORNesterovic Running Layup (16 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)64
72
Q4 - 11:48TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
70
Q4 - 11:49TORMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
70
Q4 - 12:0064
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 36' 3PT Running Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
70
Q3 - 0:04.0TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAKapono STEAL (1 STL)64
70
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
70
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 0:53.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
70
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 1:08TORBargnani P.FOUL (P3.T2)64
70
Q3 - 1:22TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 1:22TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker64
69
Q3 - 1:22TORRAPTORS Rebound64
69
Q3 - 1:22TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 264
69
Q3 - 1:22MIASUB: Powell FOR Davis64
69
Q3 - 1:22MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
69
Q3 - 1:26MIABosh STEAL (2 STL)64
69
Q3 - 1:39TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
69
Q3 - 1:39MIABarron S.FOUL (P4.PN)64
68
Q3 - 1:39TORBargnani 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)64
68
Q3 - 1:50MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)64
66
Q3 - 2:01TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
66
Q3 - 2:01TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
65
Q3 - 2:01TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon64
64
Q3 - 2:01MIABarron S.FOUL (P3.T4)64
64
Q3 - 2:14MIACook 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)64
64
Q3 - 2:27TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic62
64
Q3 - 2:28MIAHeat Rebound62
64
Q3 - 2:29TORMISS Nesterovic 5' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 2:42TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford62
64
Q3 - 2:42TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)62
64
Q3 - 2:42MIABarron L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)62
64
Q3 - 2:42TORRAPTORS Rebound62
64
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 3:04TORNesterovic 11' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)62
64
Q3 - 3:31MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)62
62
Q3 - 3:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
62
Q3 - 3:36MIAMoon BLOCK (3 BLK)59
62
Q3 - 3:58TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 3:58TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
61
Q3 - 3:58MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)59
60
Q3 - 4:03TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
60
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 4:27TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 4:53MIACook 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)59
57
Q3 - 5:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)57
57
Q3 - 5:19TORBosh 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)57
57
Q3 - 5:29TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
55
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
55
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 6:07MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)57
55
Q3 - 6:21TORFord 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 6:26MIASUB: Anthony FOR Lasme55
53
Q3 - 6:26MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount55
53
Q3 - 6:26MIALasme P.FOUL (P3.T1)55
53
Q3 - 6:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
53
Q3 - 6:34TORMISS Nesterovic 22' Jump Shot55
53
Q3 - 6:50MIAQuinn 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
53
Q3 - 7:14TORNesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)53
53
Q3 - 7:19MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)53
51
Q3 - 7:34TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)53
51
Q3 - 7:42TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
51
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Cook 12' Running Jump Shot53
51
Q3 - 8:11TORFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)53
51
Q3 - 8:16TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
48
Q3 - 8:18TORMISS Moon Tip Shot53
48
Q3 - 8:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
48
Q3 - 8:22TORMISS Moon 5' Running Jump Shot53
48
Q3 - 8:37MIACook 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)53
48
Q3 - 8:52MIAHeat Rebound51
48
Q3 - 8:54TORMISS Nesterovic Layup51
48
Q3 - 9:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
48
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
48
Q3 - 9:25TORMISS Ford 15' Pullup Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
48
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:51TORFord 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
48
Q3 - 9:58TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
46
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot51
46
Q3 - 10:19MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
46
Q3 - 10:19TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot51
46
Q3 - 10:31MIANesterovic STEAL (1 STL)51
46
Q3 - 10:53TORParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)51
46
Q3 - 11:12TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)51
43
Q3 - 11:14MIALasme Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)51
43
Q3 - 11:18TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
43
Q3 - 11:34MIACook 17' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
43
Q3 - 11:46TORMoon P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
43
Q3 - 12:0047
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 0:06.0TORParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)47
43
Q2 - 0:30.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
43
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Rebound47
43
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMoon BLOCK (2 BLK)47
43
Q2 - 0:50.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
43
Q2 - 0:53.0TORMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
43
Q2 - 1:10TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
43
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Davis 19' Fadeaway Jumper47
43
Q2 - 1:27TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)47
43
Q2 - 1:58MIACook 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
40
Q2 - 2:23MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
40
Q2 - 2:24TORMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot45
40
Q2 - 2:41MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
40
Q2 - 2:41MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
40
Q2 - 2:41TORFord S.FOUL (P2.T2)43
40
Q2 - 2:56TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
40
Q2 - 2:56TORSUB: Moon FOR Kapono43
39
Q2 - 2:56TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
39
Q2 - 2:56MIASUB: Cook FOR Powell43
38
Q2 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)43
38
Q2 - 2:56MIAPowell S.FOUL (P1.T2)43
38
Q2 - 3:03TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
38
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 3:13TORFord Foul Turnover (P3.T6)43
38
Q2 - 3:13TORFord OFF.Foul (P1)43
38
Q2 - 3:26MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)43
38
Q2 - 3:30MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
38
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Quinn 8' Running Jump Shot40
38
Q2 - 3:48TORNesterovic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)40
38
Q2 - 3:56MIASUB: Davis FOR Cook40
36
Q2 - 3:56MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount40
36
Q2 - 3:56MIABlount L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)40
36
Q2 - 4:17MIAPowell 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)40
36
Q2 - 4:27TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)38
36
Q2 - 4:32TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
36
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Lasme 17' Jump Shot38
36
Q2 - 4:53TORNesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)38
36
Q2 - 5:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
34
Q2 - 5:04TORMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 5:18MIALasme Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
34
Q2 - 5:36MIASUB: Lasme FOR Barron38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORSUB: Ford FOR Delfino38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORSUB: Parker FOR Calderon38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
34
Q2 - 5:36TORBargnani OFF.Foul (P2)38
34
Q2 - 5:44TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
34
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 6:02TORKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)38
34
Q2 - 6:07TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
32
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Powell Driving Reverse Layup38
32
Q2 - 6:24MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
32
Q2 - 6:25TORMISS Bargnani 3PT Jump Shot38
32
Q2 - 6:40MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)38
32
Q2 - 7:04MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
32
Q2 - 7:05TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 7:25MIABarron Tip Shot (6 PTS)36
32
Q2 - 7:27MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
32
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot34
32
Q2 - 7:40MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
32
Q2 - 7:41TORMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot34
32
Q2 - 7:52TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
32
Q2 - 7:53MIABargnani BLOCK (3 BLK)34
32
Q2 - 8:09TORKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)34
32
Q2 - 8:14TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30
Q2 - 8:16MIANesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)34
30
Q2 - 8:28MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams34
30
Q2 - 8:2834
30
Q2 - 8:28TORKapono P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
30
Q2 - 8:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
30
Q2 - 8:38TORMISS Nesterovic 14' Turnaround Bank Shot34
30
Q2 - 8:51TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
30
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Barron 8' Driving Hook Shot34
30
Q2 - 9:01TORCalderon Violation:Kicked Ball34
30
Q2 - 9:18TORNesterovic Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)34
30
Q2 - 9:32MIAPowell Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 9:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
28
Q2 - 9:45TORMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 9:57MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis32
28
Q2 - 9:57TORRAPTORS Rebound32
28
Q2 - 9:57MIANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)32
28
Q2 - 10:18MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
28
Q2 - 10:19TORMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 10:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
28
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 10:39MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
28
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 10:42MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
28
Q2 - 10:44MIABargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)32
28
Q2 - 10:49TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
28
Q2 - 11:03MIADavis Tip Shot (4 PTS)32
28
Q2 - 11:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
28
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Davis Alley Oop Layup30
28
Q2 - 11:23TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)30
28
Q2 - 11:37MIABarron 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
25
Q2 - 12:0028
25
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR28
25
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound28
25
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
25
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
25
Q1 - 0:05.0TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
25
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
25
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
25
Q1 - 0:23.0TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot25
25
Q1 - 0:38.0MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)25
25
Q1 - 0:57.0TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)23
25
Q1 - 1:14MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)23
22
Q1 - 1:16MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
22
Q1 - 1:17MIABargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)23
22
Q1 - 1:25MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q1 - 1:26TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 1:32TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
22
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 1:52TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
22
Q1 - 2:06MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 2:06MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 2:06TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
22
Q1 - 2:17TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 2:17TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh21
21
Q1 - 2:17MIASUB: Powell FOR Cook21
21
Q1 - 2:17TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
21
Q1 - 2:17MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
20
Q1 - 2:18TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 2:19TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 2:26TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 2:52TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 2:52MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony21
19
Q1 - 2:52TORRAPTORS Rebound21
19
Q1 - 2:52TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 221
19
Q1 - 2:52MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)21
19
Q1 - 2:55TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon21
19
Q1 - 2:55TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)21
19
Q1 - 2:55MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T4)21
19
Q1 - 3:06TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:14TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford21
19
Q1 - 3:14MIAHeat Rebound21
19
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
19
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Barron 9' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:38MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
19
Q1 - 3:39TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 221
19
Q1 - 3:39TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:39MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn21
18
Q1 - 3:39TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic21
18
Q1 - 3:39MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount21
18
Q1 - 3:39MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)21
18
Q1 - 3:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
18
Q1 - 3:40TORMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Hook Shot21
18
Q1 - 3:53MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)21
18
Q1 - 4:18TORFord Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)19
18
Q1 - 4:23MIAMoon STEAL (1 STL)19
16
Q1 - 4:41TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)19
16
Q1 - 5:01MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 5:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 5:08TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 5:24MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)16
14
Q1 - 5:51TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)13
14
Q1 - 6:05MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 6:14MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
12
Q1 - 6:15TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Hook Shot10
12
Q1 - 6:35MIABlount Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
12
Q1 - 6:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)10
12
Q1 - 6:55TORParker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 7:03TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
10
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
10
Q1 - 7:22TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
10
Q1 - 7:33MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)10
8
Q1 - 7:33MIAHeat Rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:59MIAAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending10
8
Q1 - 7:59TORParker 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 8:12TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
6
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 8:27TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:27MIASUB: Anthony FOR Lasme10
5
Q1 - 8:27TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
5
Q1 - 8:27MIALasme S.FOUL (P2.T2)10
4
Q1 - 8:45TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 8:47MIAMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)10
4
Q1 - 8:55MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 8:56TORMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot10
4
Q1 - 9:15MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)10
4
Q1 - 9:26MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:27TORMISS Ford 12' Fadeaway Jumper7
4
Q1 - 9:38TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:59TORNesterovic Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)7
4
Q1 - 10:16MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)7
2
Q1 - 10:38MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:40TORMISS Nesterovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 11:04MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:14TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:25MIAQuinn 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:42TORNesterovic 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:52MIALasme P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Blount: Tip to Ford0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 42.1%
TOR
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
16
38%
TOR
10
17
59%
Midrange
MIA
15
40
38%
TOR
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
TOR
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
6
6
100%
TOR
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cook2258%11.0 / 19
C. Quinn1441%7.0 / 17
R. Davis1142%5.5 / 13
M. Blount857%4.0 / 7
E. Barron840%4.0 / 10
K. Powell630%3.0 / 10
J. Williams350%1.5 / 3
S. Lasme250%1.0 / 2
B. Ahearn1-0.0 / 0
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Nesterovic2053%10.0 / 19
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
A. Parker13108%6.5 / 6
T. Ford1179%5.5 / 7
J. Kapono1161%5.5 / 9
A. Bargnani833%4.0 / 12
J. Moon433%2.0 / 6
C. Delfino338%1.5 / 4
J. Calderon225%1.0 / 4
K. Humphries250%1.0 / 2
P. Brezec250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+18
-14
89
TOR
72
+13
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 42.1%
TOR
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
109.7
MIA 88.2
TOR 108.3 +20.1
Pace
90.5
90.7
MIA 79.8
TOR 89.8 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 18.0
TOR 16.0 −2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.1%
MIA 42.6%
TOR 50.7% +8.1%
TO %
15.4%
12.3%
MIA 16.9%
TOR 12.6% −4.3%
ORB %
22.2%
23.5%
MIA 26.8%
TOR 30.8% +4.0%
FTrt
30.0
24.7
MIA 7.4
TOR 22.4 +15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
62.0%
MIA 63.3%
TOR 77.1% +13.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
MIA 5.9%
TOR 10.7% +4.8%
BLK %
7.1%
6.9%
MIA 6.9%
TOR 16.1% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.7%
MIA 42.1%
TOR 53.5% +11.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.5%
MIA 37.5%
TOR 58.8% +21.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.3%
MIA 37.5%
TOR 43.9% +6.4%
3P %
35.8%
39.2%
MIA 36.0%
TOR 38.9% +2.9%
FT %
72.7%
81.2%
MIA 100.0% +17.6%
TOR 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
28.9%
MIA 19.8%
TOR 22.4% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
49.4%
MIA 49.4% −4.6%
TOR 53.9%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
MIA 30.9% +7.2%
TOR 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8584
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points7591
Rebounds3842
Assists1927
Steals59
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)14 (3)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (3)
Field Goals30-8135-76
At-the-Rim FG6-1610-17
Midrange FG15-4018-41
2-Point FG21-5628-58
3-Point FG9-257-18
Free Throws6-614-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
37.8
14
41%
1
6
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 195 · 29
36.6
11
42%
5
4
2
0
6
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
36.6
22
58%
6
3
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
50%
4-9
44%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
30.7
8
57%
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
17.8
2
50%
0
0
1
2
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
24.7
6
30%
10
3
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
24.1
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
21.6
8
40%
5
1
0
0
1
5
3
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
7.2
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
3.0
1
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
42%
38
19
5
4
14
0
11
27
6-6
100%
21-56
38%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.