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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Heat12%8775
11Raptors88%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
37.8
33.0
14
41%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-11
3-6
27%
44%
2-5
40%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.6
36.6
38.9
11
43%
5
4
2
1
0
6
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-5
20%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
36.6
25.4
22
58%
6
3
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
42%
4-9
44%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
30.7
26.0
8
57%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
17.8
20.8
2
50%
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
24.7
30.5
6
30%
10
3
0
1
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
24.1
18.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
21.6
23.6
8
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
7.2
14.7
3
44%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
3.0
7.5
1
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
6.8
0
1-1
47%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.4
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.9
42.1
28.5
20
53%
7
2
1
1
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
10-19
6-10
53%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.1
31.2
38.8
15
61%
6
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
9-12
75%
3-7
8-15
43%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
28.2
30.7
13
108%
7
3
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
3-3
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.1
23.7
25.5
11
80%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
22.0
21.2
4
33%
6
2
1
1
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
24.3
23.7
2
25%
6
11
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
22.4
16.3
11
61%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
21.3
22.7
3
38%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
18.6
21.6
8
32%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-6
17%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.1
5.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
2.1
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
2.1
3.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.