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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets26%9396
2Jazz74%101105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.0
43.5
27.9
22
61%
13
2
1
1
1
2
2
11
12-14
86%
5-12
5-9
42%
50%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
43.3
33.5
22
44%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-9
67%
5-14
7-16
36%
46%
2-7
29%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
34.5
26.0
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
34.2
13.5
19
56%
5
6
2
0
0
2
1
4
7-7
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
43%
2-6
33%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.8
17.9
20.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
22.9
21.4
0
0%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.2
13.8
17.2
8
68%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
13.6
10.2
6
77%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.6
11.8
20.2
6
100%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
4.2
26.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
0.5
19.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-1
100%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 29.8
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.9
40.1
35.5
12
47%
13
2
0
1
0
3
4
9
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
37.4
33.7
17
50%
2
9
1
1
1
2
0
2
6-9
67%
4-11
4-9
36%
52%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.4
31.7
33.8
21
71%
11
2
0
1
0
3
1
10
3-4
75%
9-13
7-14
69%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
28.9
27.6
7
72%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
13.8
23.4
12
61%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.1
24.9
20.7
10
57%
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.2
24.2
20.1
9
54%
4
0
0
1
3
2
2
2
1-3
33%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.9
19.1
18.5
11
52%
9
0
0
1
0
0
6
3
5-8
63%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
10.6
13.6
2
33%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
9.4
6.5
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.0
5.6
0
1-1
42%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.