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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs57%94101
23Kings43%9298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
38.2
28.8
19
58%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
7-9
3-6
78%
46%
1-6
17%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
37.3
29.5
32
62%
3
11
2
1
0
1
0
3
7-9
78%
11-20
7-13
55%
52%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
35.5
17.2
17
81%
8
3
1
0
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
8-10
2-3
80%
58%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
34.1
29.8
5
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
25.4
29.7
19
90%
5
3
2
1
1
2
1
4
7-8
88%
6-7
7-14
86%
52%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
28.6
19.4
0
0%
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
19.9
25.7
9
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.2
10.9
18.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
6.3
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
3.7
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-3
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
12.4
0
1-3
42%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
8.8
0
1-1
52%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
4.9
0
0-1
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
45.1
28.2
15
44%
6
3
5
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-13
3-6
38%
51%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
44.4
36.0
29
64%
10
3
2
1
0
1
4
6
7-8
88%
11-17
4-9
65%
49%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
34.4
28.8
6
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.0
33.4
28.4
17
57%
3
3
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
8-13
4-9
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
31.6
22.3
16
59%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
8-8
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
25.9
21.2
8
65%
5
3
1
1
0
4
2
3
2-5
40%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
18.4
18.3
7
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.5
4.9
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
2.1
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.4
24.5
1
4-9
47%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.2
22.5
1
3-6
49%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.7
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.