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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bobcats41%96108
19Nets59%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
46.3
37.9
31
63%
10
4
8
1
0
3
2
8
4-4
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
5-10
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.8
43.0
37.2
18
44%
6
8
1
1
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
45%
1-3
33%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
43.0
32.4
11
41%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
39.4
29.1
8
45%
15
0
0
1
2
2
1
14
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
33.4
23.2
19
64%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
9-14
4-7
64%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.8
29.9
32.0
10
56%
6
1
0
1
0
2
4
2
8-9
89%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.9
15.5
16.9
4
34%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
10.3
10.9
7
74%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
4.2
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
11.3
1
1-3
52%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
45.7
37.5
18
53%
6
8
3
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-10
6-13
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.8
45.7
36.1
28
59%
4
5
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
10-17
6-11
59%
51%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.2
32.0
20.0
8
75%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-3
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
20.3
21.3
5
32%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.8
16.5
4.1
10
102%
4
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
3-4
75%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
35.5
29.5
17
57%
2
8
1
1
1
5
0
2
8-11
73%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.8
27.5
21.8
10
58%
5
3
1
1
2
1
2
3
5-6
83%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.4
22.5
18.9
11
54%
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
4
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.2
11.4
9.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.1
4.8
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
3.0
18.6
3
150%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-1
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
4.8
0
1-1
55%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.