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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Clippers15%9092
3Hornets85%103114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.1
34.8
34.2
9
46%
4
2
0
1
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
7-14
44%
50%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.4
34.6
38.3
26
63%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
5-8
63%
9-14
5-12
64%
45%
1-3
33%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
33.6
34.6
9
41%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
21.4
14.4
6
77%
7
2
0
0
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.4
18.5
16.9
0
0%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
29.5
23.5
10
56%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
26.1
20.2
13
42%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
8-10
80%
1-8
3-6
13%
47%
1-3
33%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
23.4
6.8
10
83%
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.0
8.6
13.2
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.6
5.7
15.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 21.4
3.6
4.5
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.1
21.8
0
2-5
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.9
36.9
36.2
22
79%
4
12
2
2
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
10-12
6-12
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.9
36.5
34.9
7
24%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
2-11
18%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
33.2
37.4
32
78%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
8-8
100%
12-17
8-16
71%
52%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.5
31.1
34.1
11
76%
11
1
0
1
1
1
4
7
3-5
60%
4-5
4-7
80%
63%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
22.7
22.2
10
50%
3
2
3
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
21.9
6.7
8
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
18.1
10.7
14
115%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
7-7
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
55%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
14.6
17.3
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
14.4
9.3
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
5.3
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.4
5.3
4.4
2
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
19.4
1
3-6
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.