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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 15, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies24%9491
17Trail Blazers76%103113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.8
38.4
35.9
17
43%
14
5
1
1
2
1
7
7
5-6
83%
6-16
6-11
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
35.3
29.8
13
48%
7
8
0
1
0
2
3
4
4-6
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
34.8
29.4
16
46%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-3
33%
6-11
5-11
55%
49%
1-5
20%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
29.9
25.0
7
32%
7
4
0
1
0
5
5
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
21.4
11.1
7
90%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.1
23.3
27.7
10
57%
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.0
23.2
10.5
5
28%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
1-6
17%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
20.0
20.1
16
80%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
4-9
44%
6-6
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
13.7
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
10.7
0
2-3
46%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.3
10.1
0
1-3
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.1
9.2
0
1-2
51%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
39.0
32.4
18
63%
7
5
3
1
0
2
1
6
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.7
37.5
35.2
16
52%
5
11
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-8
75%
2-6
6-12
33%
51%
2-6
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.1
29.7
33.5
12
50%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
29.2
28.0
16
74%
7
2
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-2
0%
8-10
5-10
80%
50%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.7
28.0
35.9
11
67%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
3-6
9-17
50%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.5
24.9
17.3
20
113%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
6-7
86%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.6
24.4
27.3
10
38%
9
0
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
12.6
9.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.8
9.6
5.4
4
69%
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.1
3.4
2.8
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
55%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.7
1.6
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.