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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards28%96102
9Mavericks72%10391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
38.3
26.1
29
58%
2
9
0
1
0
3
0
2
8-9
89%
9-17
3-7
53%
44%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
38.3
32.2
16
43%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
4-4
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.9
37.6
22.2
7
32%
10
0
0
0
0
0
1
9
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.7
22.2
27.6
6
75%
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
17.4
4.0
5
102%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
35.0
23.5
20
63%
7
1
1
1
2
0
3
4
4-4
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
46%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.1
30.3
29.7
19
64%
3
1
2
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
41%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.6
17.9
14.4
0
0%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
2.3
25.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.8
0.7
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
13.6
0
2-4
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.3
10.8
0
1-2
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.4
39.0
35.3
34
55%
9
1
0
1
2
3
1
8
12-13
92%
8-20
7-14
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.6
36.8
32.4
4
33%
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.5
35.5
30.5
16
56%
7
0
1
1
3
0
4
3
4-5
80%
6-11
5-10
55%
53%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.3
29.0
21.8
8
86%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
4-6
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.5
18.7
10.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
37.4
30.0
12
35%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-5
60%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-6
17%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
23.5
20.3
13
64%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
4-5
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.1
15.6
19.0
2
17%
4
0
2
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
4.6
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
13.6
0
1-3
45%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
11.7
0
1-2
54%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.2
6.3
0
1-1
43%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.5
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.