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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2276ers19%92106
4Magic81%103120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
32.5
38.0
8
31%
5
6
4
2
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
32.0
32.2
8
40%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.6
31.1
22.2
8
46%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.0
30.7
24.3
18
80%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
4-6
3-7
67%
41%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
15.5
23.1
9
53%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.2
26.0
19.8
26
90%
5
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
6-8
75%
10-11
3-7
91%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
21.6
15.6
13
74%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
16.7
19.4
10
71%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
14.0
10.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
11.5
11.4
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
38%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
8.3
19.6
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
29.6
22.6
13
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.9
28.6
36.2
21
77%
15
2
1
1
2
1
7
8
3-6
50%
9-11
6-10
82%
57%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
26.1
30.7
15
58%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
3-5
60%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
24.6
22.3
16
74%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
4-7
57%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.7
21.2
26.3
7
58%
0
6
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.5
23.4
15.1
8
57%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 33.9
22.9
0.3
15
111%
1
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
3-4
75%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
21.9
13.0
10
83%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
19.4
11.0
8
51%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
55%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.6
18.4
22.4
7
58%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
4.0
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
35.0
1
3-6
49%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.