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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats20%8759
2Celtics80%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
37.8
34.0
10
40%
12
0
2
2
0
4
2
10
4-8
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
28.6
8.9
5
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
2-10
1-2
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
24.9
30.2
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.3
23.0
33.6
9
34%
4
3
1
1
0
4
2
2
3-5
60%
3-10
4-10
30%
42%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.1
20.6
26.6
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.0
27.3
25.5
1
9%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 21.9
25.0
19.8
8
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.1
20.7
11.5
9
46%
4
0
2
0
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.1
18.0
5.8
5
47%
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
5
1-3
33%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.5
9.4
9.6
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
4.7
15.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.7
14.2
0
1-3
44%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
38.0
37.5
18
49%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
4-10
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
29.9
34.4
10
83%
3
11
3
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
5-11
83%
48%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
26.2
27.7
9
43%
7
1
0
0
4
3
2
5
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.4
25.9
24.5
10
56%
7
1
1
1
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.0
24.7
35.9
15
70%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
3-5
60%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
22.1
10.4
12
77%
9
3
1
0
1
2
3
6
8-11
73%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
21.8
21.3
2
20%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
18.1
13.1
7
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.1
15.7
24.2
9
56%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
3-8
38%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
9.6
5.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
7.9
1.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
5.8
0
0-1
40%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.8
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.