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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks34%9493
14Heat66%99115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
37.5
29.8
21
51%
7
2
1
1
1
2
3
4
6-6
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
35.6
15.3
2
25%
5
4
1
1
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.2
31.5
29.1
3
21%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
30.3
31.9
22
70%
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
4-6
67%
9-13
6-11
69%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
29.3
28.7
15
48%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
28.1
12.0
22
74%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
7-13
54%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.4
21.1
28.4
1
6%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
4-8
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
16.9
12.9
4
50%
7
3
3
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.6
6.2
12.4
3
34%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
1.8
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
1.8
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
19.7
1
2-4
39%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.9
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.8
36.4
36.4
26
52%
5
5
2
2
0
2
0
5
5-7
71%
9-18
8-15
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
36.1
25.2
21
71%
3
0
2
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
30.5
32.4
11
79%
1
4
2
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.0
29.3
22.3
22
85%
12
4
0
0
0
3
0
12
2-2
100%
10-12
4-8
83%
46%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.5
17.1
19.6
5
125%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
30.2
26.7
8
42%
9
2
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-1
0%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
20.7
21.9
15
61%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
2-5
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
18.7
13.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.2
17.5
1.0
4
67%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
1.8
15.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.9
1.8
15.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
7.9
0
1-1
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.9
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.