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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons54%10096
29Grizzlies46%9874
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.7
36.3
29.8
25
59%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
9-14
5-11
64%
46%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.7
31.5
32.2
14
54%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
6-7
86%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
28.3
12.0
3
32%
9
0
0
0
1
2
2
7
1-6
17%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.5
27.1
30.0
12
57%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
6-10
5-11
60%
44%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.2
16.8
25.1
7
50%
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
25.9
33.3
22
77%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
3-5
4-10
60%
45%
4-7
57%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.6
25.2
16.8
4
52%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
23.4
11.8
5
39%
5
7
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.7
19.4
20.6
2
50%
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
6.1
10.9
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.4
12.3
0
1-3
47%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.7
7.5
0
1-2
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
35.8
33.9
9
32%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
5-5
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
34.0
33.5
16
64%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.0
32.2
31.4
3
38%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
30.1
26.5
14
47%
9
2
0
1
0
2
5
4
2-4
50%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.7
30.1
29.6
21
76%
15
0
0
1
3
3
3
12
9-11
82%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
19.5
13.7
2
13%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-6
33%
0-5
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
17.6
7.3
4
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
41%
0-3
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.7
12.1
25.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
9.5
4.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
9.2
13.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.4
5.6
7.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Trey Gilder
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.8
4.4
10.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.4
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.