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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nets52%9693
27Timberwolves48%9595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.6
38.2
31.1
27
61%
15
4
1
1
5
4
5
10
5-7
71%
11-19
5-10
58%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
37.5
26.0
5
22%
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-4
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
36.5
20.4
17
63%
12
1
0
1
2
3
2
10
7-8
88%
5-9
2-5
56%
41%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.7
29.4
32.7
14
45%
6
8
1
2
0
4
3
3
6-6
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
24.0
12.1
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
31.3
20.1
15
49%
10
1
0
1
0
5
2
8
3-3
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.3
23.4
27.0
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
9.8
15.1
3
52%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.4
7.7
20.2
4
41%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
2.3
17.0
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
10.9
0
1-2
48%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
5.6
0
0-1
52%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.6
33.0
16.2
7
24%
8
1
3
1
1
2
4
4
1-2
50%
3-14
2-4
21%
41%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.7
29.4
24.6
18
52%
4
2
2
1
0
3
1
3
8-10
80%
5-13
2-5
38%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.8
25.7
14.8
12
49%
10
2
4
1
0
1
3
7
4-5
80%
4-10
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.8
24.6
32.5
9
36%
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
5-8
63%
2-9
9-17
22%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
19.4
28.3
10
39%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
4-4
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
23.2
15.7
8
50%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
22.5
15.6
9
77%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
20.0
16.6
7
88%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
18.6
27.0
5
51%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
18.2
13.9
8
34%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-9
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.9
5.4
14.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.5
8.9
0
1-2
40%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.9
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.