FinalWin Prob.pScore
1030%94
96
570%101
113
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
104.39290.2
SAS logo SAS
124.29193.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH96
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASHill 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)96
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Blair 1' Tip Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASMISS Blair 1' Putback Layup95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASMISS Hill 6' Jump Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22SASMISS Ratliff 4' Jump Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59SASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Jump Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASSPURS Rebound95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASMISS Hill 3' Layup95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T10)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55NOHSongaila 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59NOHHornets Rebound93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASRatliff 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31NOHPaul 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42NOHHornets Rebound90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Bonner 7' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00SASSPURS Rebound90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00NOHMISS B. Brown 7' Jump Shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13SASGinobili 2' Layup (16 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)90
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 5:32NOHWest 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)90
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 5:41NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)88
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:52NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 187
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)87
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:21NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22SASMISS Blair 11' Turnaround Jump Shot84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38NOHB. Brown 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52SASMason Jr. 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05NOHOkafor 1' Layup (18 PTS) (B. Brown 3 AST)82
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:18SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30NOHOkafor 2' Layup (16 PTS) (West 3 AST)80
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00NOHOkafor 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (14 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17SASBlair 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)76
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34SASSPURS Rebound76
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:35NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot76
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:45NOHB. Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)76
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 9:21SASMason Jr. 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)74
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:33NOHMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)74
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:44SASBlair Foul Turnover (P2.T7)74
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00NOHWest 2' Layup (14 PTS)74
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:13SASMason Jr. 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:22SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:23NOHMISS B. Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 10:47SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)72
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 11:09NOHWest 5' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (B. Brown 2 AST)72
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 11:26SASMason Jr. 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 11:47NOHB. Brown 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH68
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound68
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS B. Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASHill 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)68
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0NOHHill STEAL (1 STL)68
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0NOHArmstrong 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMISS Hill 15' Step Back Jump Shot66
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0NOHB. Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:06SASBlair Tip Shot (10 PTS)63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:08SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 1:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 1:21NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 263
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 1:21NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 1:25SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:40NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)62
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:52NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 2:07NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 2:07NOHMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 261
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 2:21SASParker 2' Layup (17 PTS)61
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 2:40NOHPaul 21' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)61
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 2:54SASParker 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Jefferson 5 AST)59
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:11NOHB. Brown 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 3:26SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T5)57
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 3:43NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (West 2 AST)57
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 4:00SASBlair 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 4:23NOHOkafor 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)54
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 4:32NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot52
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:48SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 4:49NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 252
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 4:49NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 5:07SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)51
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 5:22NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)51
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 5:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 5:38SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 251
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 5:38SASSPURS Rebound51
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 5:38NOHMISS Wright 7' Jump Shot51
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical51
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 5:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)51
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 6:01NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot51
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 6:25SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 6:25SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 6:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 6:28NOHMISS Wright 3' Reverse Layup51
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 6:39NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 6:40NOHMISS Wright 13' Jump Shot51
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 6:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 6:53SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot51
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 7:05NOHPaul 2' Layup (17 PTS)51
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 7:17NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup49
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup49
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 7:40NOHPeterson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)49
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:54SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)47
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 8:11NOHPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 8:33SASParker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)44
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 8:51NOHWright 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)42
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 9:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup42
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 9:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)42
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 9:38NOHMISS Okafor 8' Jump Shot42
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 9:56SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 9:56SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 10:19NOHWest 1' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)42
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q3 - 10:23NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 10:24SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 10:39SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
2.6%
59
97.4%
Q3 - 10:40NOHMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 10:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 10:57SASMISS Parker 5' Floating Jump Shot40
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 11:17NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 11:17NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 239
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)39
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS39
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSPURS Rebound39
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Peterson 13' Jump Shot39
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0NOHWright 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)39
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q2 - 1:01SASMcDyess 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)37
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 1:15NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 1:15NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 1:29SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)35
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:29SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 1:29SASMcDyess 3' Layup (6 PTS)35
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 1:30SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup35
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 1:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 1:37NOHMISS Paul 9' Jump Shot35
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q2 - 1:55SASParker 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q2 - 2:13NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 2:13NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 2:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 2:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 2:42NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 2:42NOHOkafor 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)33
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 2:44NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot31
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 2:58SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)31
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 3:19NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)31
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 3:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 3:42NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 3:53SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)26
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 4:14NOHWright 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)26
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 4:20NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)24
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 4:41NOHMISS Okafor 5' Jump Shot24
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 4:52SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)24
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 5:11NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 222
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 5:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 222
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 5:41NOHWright 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)22
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 5:56SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)20
5.4%
36
94.6%
Q2 - 6:01SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 6:15NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)20
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 6:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Bonner 10' Jump Shot20
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 6:30SASSPURS Rebound20
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 6:30SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup20
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 6:41NOHPaul 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 6:53SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 7:09NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 7:27SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)16
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q2 - 7:35NOHMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot16
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 7:59SASBlair 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)16
7.3%
31
92.7%
Q2 - 8:20NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q2 - 8:32SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)13
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 8:32SASBlair 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)13
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q2 - 8:34SASMISS Mason Jr. 3' Driving Layup13
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q2 - 8:46SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q2 - 8:48NOHMISS Okafor 11' Jump Bank Shot13
7.8%
27
92.2%
Q2 - 9:11SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q2 - 9:11SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 213
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q2 - 9:30SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q2 - 9:32NOHMISS B. Brown 5' Running Jump Shot13
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q2 - 9:55SASHill 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q2 - 10:11SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q2 - 10:12NOHMISS Armstrong 4' Jump Shot13
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 10:34SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)13
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q2 - 10:40SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q2 - 10:42NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q2 - 10:42NOHMISS Armstrong 3' Layup13
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q2 - 10:43NOHMISS Armstrong 5' Jump Shot13
14.3%
21
85.7%
Q2 - 10:59SASMason Jr. Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)13
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q2 - 11:25SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q2 - 11:27NOHMISS B. Brown 11' Jump Shot13
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q2 - 11:44SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)13
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH13
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound13
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS B. Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASBlair 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot13
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHMISS B. Brown 19' Jump Shot13
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGinobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)13
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.4%
15
76.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 213
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 213
24.6%
15
75.4%
Q1 - 1:04NOHHornets Rebound13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 1:04NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot13
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 1:27SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 1:27SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 1:41SASSPURS Rebound13
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 1:43NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot13
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 2:00NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 2:02SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 2:11SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 2:11NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 213
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 2:11NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 2:25NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 2:27SASMISS Ginobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot12
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 2:42NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 3:10SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
26.7%
13
73.3%
Q1 - 3:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)12
28.6%
11
71.4%
Q1 - 3:28NOHMISS B. Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 3:43NOHHornets Rebound12
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 3:44SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 3:49NOHDuncan STEAL (1 STL)12
28.6%
11
71.4%
Q1 - 3:58SASDuncan 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 4:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 4:08NOHMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot12
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 4:21NOHB. Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 4:36SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.9%
9
68.1%
Q1 - 4:37NOHMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot12
32.5%
9
67.5%
Q1 - 4:42SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 4:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
31.9%
9
68.1%
Q1 - 4:53NOHMISS Paul 17' Step Back Jump Shot12
32.5%
9
67.5%
Q1 - 5:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 5:06NOHMISS Okafor 11' Turnaround Jump Shot12
32.3%
9
67.7%
Q1 - 5:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 5:16NOHMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot12
32.3%
9
67.7%
Q1 - 5:31SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 5:57NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)12
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 6:14SASBonner 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)10
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 6:24SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup10
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 6:45NOHOkafor 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 6:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot8
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 7:15NOHPaul 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 7:25NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot6
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 7:34NOHMISS West 14' Jump Shot6
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 7:50SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 8:06NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 8:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 8:31SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 8:50NOHPaul 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 8:55NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 8:57SASMISS Duncan 4' Driving Hook Shot2
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 9:12NOHMISS Peterson 17' Jump Shot2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:29NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson 2' Driving Layup2
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 9:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 9:41NOHMISS Okafor 1' Reverse Layup2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:53SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:03SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:05NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:17SASJefferson 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:29NOHWright Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 10:44NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 10:46SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:10NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot2
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:20SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:42NOHWest 9' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Okafor: Tip to Wright0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.2%
SAS
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
16
24
67%
SAS
21
36
58%
Midrange
NOH
18
44
41%
SAS
15
26
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
SAS
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOH
13
22
59%
SAS
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2672%13.0 / 18
D. West1860%9.0 / 15
E. Okafor1860%9.0 / 15
B. Brown938%4.5 / 12
J. Wright844%4.0 / 9
M. Peterson750%3.5 / 7
P. Stojakovic4100%2.0 / 2
H. Armstrong220%1.0 / 5
D. Songaila2100%1.0 / 1
J. Posey1-0.0 / 0
D. Collison125%0.5 / 2
D. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1777%8.5 / 11
M. Ginobili1657%8.0 / 14
D. Blair1470%7.0 / 10
M. Bonner1161%5.5 / 9
R. Mason Jr.1150%5.5 / 11
M. Finley1083%5.0 / 6
T. Duncan950%4.5 / 9
G. Hill964%4.5 / 7
A. McDyess975%4.5 / 6
R. Jefferson528%2.5 / 9
T. Ratliff250%1.0 / 2
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
82
+9
-10
91
SAS
81
+13
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.04 52.2%
SAS
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
110.4
NOH 104.3
SAS 124.2 +19.8
Pace
92.7
91.5
NOH 90.2
SAS 93.1 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
NOH 16.0
SAS 15.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.5%
NOH 53.2%
SAS 57.6% +4.4%
TO %
13.7%
14.1%
NOH 11.1%
SAS 9.5% +1.6%
ORB %
24.8%
26.8%
NOH 13.9%
SAS 28.2% +14.3%
FTrt
24.3
29.6
NOH 28.2 +4.9
SAS 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
58.1%
NOH 43.6%
SAS 64.4% +20.8%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
NOH 5.4% +1.0%
SAS 4.4%
BLK %
5.8%
6.9%
NOH 6.5% +6.5%
SAS 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.0%
NOH 52.2%
SAS 58.9% +6.7%
Rim FG%
58.6%
62.2%
NOH 66.7% +8.4%
SAS 58.3%
Mid FG%
42.6%
40.7%
NOH 40.9%
SAS 57.7% +16.8%
3P %
36.3%
35.8%
NOH 50.0% +12.5%
SAS 37.5%
FT %
77.8%
74.0%
NOH 59.1%
SAS 70.0% +10.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
36.1%
NOH 30.8%
SAS 41.9% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
40.6%
NOH 56.4%
SAS 30.2% +26.2%
3P Att. %
23.0%
23.2%
NOH 12.8%
SAS 27.9% +15.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points96113
Rebounds3342
Assists1729
Steals54
Blocks40
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals39-7845-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2421-36
Midrange FG18-4415-26
2-Point FG34-6836-62
3-Point FG5-109-24
Free Throws13-2214-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
37.7
18
60%
9
3
3
1
1
2
1
8
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
34.0
26
72%
1
9
0
0
5
1
0
1
2-4
50%
9-14
64%
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 255 · 27
28.9
18
60%
10
0
0
0
0
3
3
7
2-3
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 22
28.1
8
44%
4
1
0
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 32
16.2
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
· 6'2" 175 · 25
23.0
9
38%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 229 · 32
19.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 217 · 33
19.2
1
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25
19.1
2
20%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 32
8.0
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
3.0
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
33
17
5
4
10
0
5
28
13-22
59%
34-68
50%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.