FinalWin Prob.pScore
936%96
105
664%101
114
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
110.59592.5
DEN logo DEN
120.09597.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN105
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAFesenko Layup (6 PTS)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTAMISS Koufos 10' Jump Shot103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)102
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENLawson Layup (17 PTS)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENMISS Lawson Layup101
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)100
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 1:13UTAJazz Rebound99
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:14UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup99
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DENLawson Driving Layup (15 PTS)99
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)99
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 1:36UTABoozer Tip Shot (8 PTS)99
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 1:36UTAMISS Boozer Layup97
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot97
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:09DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 2:29UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)97
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 296
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 2:29UTAMISS Okur 10' Jump Shot96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:53DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T13)96
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 3:15UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 3:21UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMartin 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)91
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:09UTABrewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)91
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29DENMISS Lawson Layup88
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46UTAMISS Okur 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:01DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:23UTAMISS Okur 10' Fadeaway Jumper88
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)88
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 5:45DENMartin Putback Dunk (14 PTS)88
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 5:45DENMISS Lawson 8' Running Jump Shot88
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 5:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)88
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 5:56UTAMISS Millsap Driving Layup88
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 6:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)88
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 6:17UTAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)88
5.4%
96
94.6%
Q4 - 6:19UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 6:41UTAMillsap Layup (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)88
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 6:44UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 6:45UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot86
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 7:03DENNene Dunk (13 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)86
5.0%
96
95.0%
Q4 - 7:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 7:10UTAMISS Price 22' Jump Shot86
6.9%
94
93.1%
Q4 - 7:20UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
8.4%
94
91.6%
Q4 - 7:21DENMISS Andersen Reverse Layup86
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 7:43UTAD. Williams 18' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)86
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 7:57DENAnthony Driving Layup (27 PTS)84
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 8:18UTABoozer Layup (5 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)84
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 8:33DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 282
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 8:50UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)82
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 8:50UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 8:56DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 9:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
6.9%
89
93.1%
Q4 - 9:03UTAMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 9:11DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)80
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 9:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 9:17UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot80
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 9:27DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)80
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 9:36DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 9:36UTAMISS Boozer 13' Jump Shot80
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 9:47DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)80
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 9:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 9:52UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup80
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 10:10UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
9.3%
89
90.7%
Q4 - 10:11UTAMISS Kirilenko 18' Jump Shot80
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 10:28DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)80
9.3%
89
90.7%
Q4 - 10:39UTABrewer Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)80
13.8%
86
86.2%
Q4 - 10:54DENLawson Driving Layup (8 PTS)80
16.7%
86
83.3%
Q4 - 11:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q4 - 11:13UTAMISS Okur 20' Fadeaway Jumper80
21.9%
84
78.1%
Q4 - 11:16UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q4 - 11:17UTABillups BLOCK (1 BLK)80
21.9%
84
78.1%
Q4 - 11:41DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q4 - 11:41DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)80
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q4 - 11:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
28.7%
82
71.3%
Q4 - 11:46UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
33.1%
82
66.9%
Q4 - 11:46UTAMISS Millsap Tip Shot80
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q4 - 11:48UTAMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot80
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA80
33.1%
82
66.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)80
33.1%
82
66.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)80
33.6%
81
66.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (21 PTS)80
34.1%
80
65.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENNUGGETS Rebound80
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot80
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
47.7%
79
52.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMISS Billups 17' Fadeaway Jumper80
46.3%
79
53.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
43.1%
79
56.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot80
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMartin Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)80
47.7%
79
52.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0UTAMillsap 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)80
53.3%
77
46.7%
Q3 - 1:03UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
46.9%
77
53.1%
Q3 - 1:03DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot78
45.5%
77
54.5%
Q3 - 1:27UTAD. Williams Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)78
42.5%
77
57.5%
Q3 - 1:29UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q3 - 1:30DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
45.6%
77
54.4%
Q3 - 1:39UTAMillsap Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Price 3 AST)78
42.5%
77
57.5%
Q3 - 2:07DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)76
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 2:27UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)76
46.1%
74
53.9%
Q3 - 2:27UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)75
45.4%
74
54.6%
Q3 - 2:37UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q3 - 2:39DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup74
40.1%
74
59.9%
Q3 - 2:57UTAKirilenko Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)74
37.1%
74
62.9%
Q3 - 3:07DENBillups 12' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)74
41.2%
74
58.8%
Q3 - 3:19UTAPrice Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)74
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q3 - 3:28UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
41.2%
72
58.8%
Q3 - 3:30DENMISS Martin Layup72
39.7%
72
60.3%
Q3 - 3:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)72
36.6%
72
63.4%
Q3 - 3:34DENMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot72
39.7%
72
60.3%
Q3 - 3:43DENJump Ball Andersen vs. Okur: Tip to Martin72
36.6%
72
63.4%
Q3 - 3:53DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)70
32.8%
72
67.2%
Q3 - 4:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Hook Shot70
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q3 - 4:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 4:10DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q3 - 4:27UTABoozer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)70
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 4:36DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)70
45.4%
69
54.6%
Q3 - 4:51UTAJazz Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#10)70
53.4%
66
46.6%
Q3 - 5:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
56.9%
66
43.1%
Q3 - 5:11DENAnthony Putback Slam Dunk (24 PTS)70
56.9%
66
43.1%
Q3 - 5:12DENMISS Carter Driving Reverse Layup70
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 5:20DENNUGGETS Rebound70
60.5%
64
39.5%
Q3 - 5:20DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot70
63.6%
64
36.4%
Q3 - 5:34DENNUGGETS Rebound70
60.5%
64
39.5%
Q3 - 5:34UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
61.9%
64
38.1%
Q3 - 5:58DENMartin Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)70
65.0%
64
35.0%
Q3 - 6:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 6:10UTAMISS D. Williams 15' Jump Shot70
68.0%
62
32.0%
Q3 - 6:23UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 6:25DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot70
69.6%
62
30.4%
Q3 - 6:41UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (20 PTS)70
66.9%
62
33.1%
Q3 - 6:50UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
63.6%
62
36.4%
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Carter Reverse Layup68
62.4%
62
37.6%
Q3 - 7:06UTAOkur Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
57.8%
62
42.2%
Q3 - 7:14DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
61.9%
62
38.1%
Q3 - 7:25UTAD. Williams 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)68
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q3 - 7:42DENAnthony Driving Layup (22 PTS)66
54.5%
62
45.5%
Q3 - 7:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
58.0%
60
42.0%
Q3 - 7:53UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
59.2%
60
40.8%
Q3 - 8:09DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)66
61.1%
60
38.9%
Q3 - 8:26UTAD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
57.2%
60
42.8%
Q3 - 8:38DENMartin Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)63
49.9%
60
50.1%
Q3 - 8:42DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 8:43UTAMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot63
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 9:01DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)63
56.6%
58
43.4%
Q3 - 9:15UTAKirilenko Dunk (13 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)63
52.9%
58
47.1%
Q3 - 9:39DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
49.3%
58
50.7%
Q3 - 9:39DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 261
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 9:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
49.3%
57
50.7%
Q3 - 9:39DENMISS Carter Driving Finger Roll Layup61
51.9%
57
48.1%
Q3 - 9:53UTAKirilenko Layup (11 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)61
49.3%
57
50.7%
Q3 - 9:57UTAJazz Rebound59
45.7%
57
54.3%
Q3 - 9:57UTAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)59
43.1%
57
56.9%
Q3 - 9:59UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
45.7%
57
54.3%
Q3 - 10:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
41.9%
57
58.1%
Q3 - 10:00DENMISS Martin Tip Shot59
44.5%
57
55.5%
Q3 - 10:02DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot59
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q3 - 10:12UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 10:12UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 10:31UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot57
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 10:59UTAKirilenko 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)57
34.7%
57
65.3%
Q3 - 11:16DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)55
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 11:34DENNUGGETS Rebound55
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 11:34UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot55
38.8%
54
61.2%
Q3 - 11:46DENNene Backcourt Turnover (P3.T6)55
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA55
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENAnthony Driving Layup (17 PTS)55
40.5%
54
59.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)55
44.6%
52
55.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 254
43.8%
52
56.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
43.9%
52
56.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 154
43.5%
52
56.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
47.9%
50
52.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENAnthony Dunk (15 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)51
40.6%
50
59.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)51
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q2 - 1:02UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot48
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q2 - 1:20UTAD. Williams 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)48
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q2 - 1:30UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q2 - 1:31DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Hook Shot46
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 1:53UTABrewer Layup (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)46
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q2 - 2:07DENMartin 7' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)44
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 2:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 2:20UTAMISS Boozer Layup44
29.5%
46
70.5%
Q2 - 2:42DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)44
31.5%
46
68.5%
Q2 - 2:57UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 2:57UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q2 - 2:57UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 2:58UTANene BLOCK (2 BLK)42
32.3%
43
67.7%
Q2 - 3:19DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q2 - 3:27UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)42
36.8%
41
63.2%
Q2 - 3:47DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 3:47DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 242
41.3%
40
58.7%
Q2 - 3:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 3:49DENMISS Martin Layup42
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 3:54UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 4:04UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 4:06DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot42
41.6%
40
58.4%
Q2 - 4:24UTAOkur Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)42
39.4%
40
60.6%
Q2 - 4:35DENAnthony 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)40
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 4:48DENBillups Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)40
39.4%
38
60.6%
Q2 - 4:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 4:59UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 240
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 4:59UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
44.7%
37
55.3%
Q2 - 5:16UTAJazz Rebound39
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 5:16DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup39
41.4%
37
58.6%
Q2 - 5:42UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)39
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 6:11DENLawson Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 6:16UTANene STEAL (2 STL)36
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 6:21UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 6:22DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 6:37UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 6:45UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 6:45DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot36
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 6:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 6:56UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot36
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 7:17DENAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)36
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 7:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 7:36UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot36
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 7:55DENNene Layup (11 PTS)36
38.9%
35
61.1%
Q2 - 8:04DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)36
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 8:13UTAD. Williams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
43.7%
32
56.3%
Q2 - 8:32DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
41.1%
32
58.9%
Q2 - 8:32DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 8:39UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)34
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 8:48UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
46.5%
30
53.5%
Q2 - 8:49DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Jump Shot34
45.6%
30
54.4%
Q2 - 8:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 9:00UTAMISS Okur 7' Jump Hook Shot34
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 9:17DENNene Driving Layup (9 PTS)34
45.8%
30
54.2%
Q2 - 9:37UTABrewer 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
48.4%
28
51.6%
Q2 - 9:53UTAJazz Rebound32
45.9%
28
54.1%
Q2 - 9:53UTAGraham BLOCK (1 BLK)32
43.9%
28
56.1%
Q2 - 9:57UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
45.9%
28
54.1%
Q2 - 9:58DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot32
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 10:08UTANene STEAL (1 STL)32
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 10:32DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 10:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q2 - 10:41UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot32
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q2 - 11:00DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)32
53.5%
25
46.5%
Q2 - 11:17UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
55.3%
23
44.7%
Q2 - 11:17UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q2 - 11:37UTAJazz Rebound30
52.9%
23
47.1%
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot30
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN30
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAOkur 14' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Price 2 AST)30
50.2%
23
49.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)28
46.6%
23
53.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
52.1%
20
47.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTANene BLOCK (1 BLK)28
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)28
54.1%
20
45.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0UTAMillsap Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
52.1%
20
47.9%
Q1 - 1:12DENMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 1:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 1:24UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot26
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q1 - 1:50DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)26
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 1:54DENNUGGETS Rebound26
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot26
52.7%
18
47.3%
Q1 - 2:18UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Price 1 AST)26
51.1%
18
48.9%
Q1 - 2:28UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 2:30DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot23
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 2:50UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)23
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 3:13DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)21
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 3:27UTAMillsap Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)21
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 3:39UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 3:42DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 219
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 3:42DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 3:55UTAOkur 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)19
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:08DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
38.6%
15
61.4%
Q1 - 4:08DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 4:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Anthony Layup17
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 4:20DENNUGGETS Rebound17
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 4:22DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot17
42.3%
13
57.7%
Q1 - 4:38UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 4:38UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 4:42UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 4:43DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 4:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
36.5%
13
63.5%
Q1 - 4:50UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot15
37.1%
13
62.9%
Q1 - 5:05DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 215
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 5:12DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 5:14UTAMISS Millsap 18' Fadeaway Jumper15
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 5:25UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot15
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 5:44UTAPrice 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)15
38.3%
12
61.7%
Q1 - 5:53UTAJazz Rebound13
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 5:53UTAMISS Kirilenko 19' Jump Shot13
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:53UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 5:55UTAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)13
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:57UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 5:58UTAMISS Boozer 7' Jump Shot13
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 6:07UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:08DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot13
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:29UTAD. Williams Palming Turnover (P2.T2)13
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:33UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:34DENMISS Nene Layup13
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:47UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:56DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
30.4%
12
69.6%
Q1 - 7:15UTAFesenko Dunk (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)10
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 7:34DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 7:51UTABoozer Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)8
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 8:09DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 8:17DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 8:19UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot6
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 8:36DENCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 8:44UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 8:44UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:48UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 8:49DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Hook Shot4
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 9:11DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup4
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 9:22UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Nene Tip Shot4
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 9:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:25DENMISS Billups Driving Layup4
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 9:39UTAFesenko Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)4
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 9:58DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)2
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 10:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 10:11UTAMISS Boozer Layup2
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 10:21DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 10:21DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 22
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 10:33UTAD. Williams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)2
27.1%
5
72.9%
Q1 - 10:54DENNene Dunk (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 11:14DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 11:17UTAMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot0
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 11:36DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 11:39UTACarter STEAL (1 STL)0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Okur: Tip to Kirilenko0
33.1%
0
66.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DEN
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
30
57%
DEN
25
41
61%
Midrange
UTA
14
41
34%
DEN
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
DEN
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
UTA
25
29
86%
DEN
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams2878%14.0 / 18
A. Kirilenko1667%8.0 / 12
R. Brewer1662%8.0 / 13
M. Okur1354%6.5 / 12
C. Boozer1233%6.0 / 18
P. Millsap1045%5.0 / 11
K. Fesenko6100%3.0 / 3
R. Price450%2.0 / 4
W. Matthews0-0.0 / 1
K. Koufos0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3058%15.0 / 26
C. Billups2569%12.5 / 18
T. Lawson1761%8.5 / 14
K. Martin1650%8.0 / 16
Nene1673%8.0 / 11
A. Afflalo338%1.5 / 4
J. Graham3150%1.5 / 1
A. Carter217%1.0 / 6
C. Andersen233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
80
+14
-15
94
DEN
82
+17
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.09 54.7%
DEN
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
111.9
UTA 110.5
DEN 120.0 +9.5
Pace
93.8
94.7
UTA 92.5
DEN 97.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.7
UTA 15.6
DEN 14.7 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.9%
UTA 49.4%
DEN 51.1% +1.7%
TO %
15.5%
14.2%
UTA 14.6%
DEN 11.3% +3.3%
ORB %
26.8%
26.1%
UTA 26.3%
DEN 32.6% +6.3%
FTrt
34.0
37.6
UTA 35.8 +2.1
DEN 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.8%
55.0%
UTA 70.3% +19.1%
DEN 51.2%
STL %
8.8%
8.7%
UTA 3.2%
DEN 5.3% +2.1%
BLK %
8.1%
7.9%
UTA 5.3%
DEN 8.5% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.2%
54.9%
UTA 54.7%
DEN 56.4% +1.7%
Rim FG%
61.0%
61.0%
UTA 56.7%
DEN 61.0% +4.3%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.6%
UTA 34.1%
DEN 37.1% +3.0%
3P %
36.4%
35.9%
UTA 60.0% +21.5%
DEN 38.5%
FT %
74.1%
77.2%
UTA 86.2% +9.5%
DEN 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.4%
37.5%
UTA 37.0%
DEN 46.1% +9.0%
Mid Att. %
40.2%
39.8%
UTA 50.6%
DEN 39.3% +11.3%
3P Att. %
18.4%
22.7%
UTA 12.3%
DEN 14.6% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points105114
Rebounds3942
Assists2622
Steals35
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals37-8143-89
At-the-Rim FG17-3025-41
Midrange FG14-4113-35
2-Point FG31-7138-76
3-Point FG6-105-13
Free Throws25-2923-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
40.6
28
78%
3
13
1
0
5
3
0
3
8-8
100%
7-12
58%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
38.5
16
67%
5
4
0
1
2
2
2
3
3-3
100%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
36.0
16
62%
6
0
0
0
1
3
2
4
7-9
78%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 258 · 28
31.5
12
33%
11
4
1
1
2
3
3
8
6-8
75%
3-14
21%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 30
31.0
13
54%
6
1
0
1
2
3
1
5
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 246 · 25
22.8
10
45%
5
1
0
1
3
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
20.0
4
50%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 280 · 23
10.7
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 175 · 22
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 21
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 29
#34 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'7" 230 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
39
26
3
4
15
0
10
29
25-29
86%
31-71
44%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.