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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks38%9586
2176ers62%9999
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
38.7
29.1
17
44%
6
1
3
1
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
2-6
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.1
34.3
21.1
17
50%
9
9
0
1
0
5
1
8
1-2
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
41%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
31.5
27.0
8
40%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
18.0
26.4
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
14.2
18.6
4
100%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
31.0
19.8
6
43%
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.3
19.3
20.8
9
41%
4
0
0
1
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
17.7
7.1
11
49%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
15.9
22.9
8
59%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
10.7
13.1
4
45%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
8.7
17.6
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
40.5
34.1
19
61%
9
7
2
2
1
4
0
9
6-8
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
38.1
31.6
13
57%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
34.9
18.7
10
53%
12
0
0
0
2
4
1
11
6-8
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.0
33.3
28.1
16
55%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.6
29.3
22.4
17
64%
6
1
3
1
2
2
1
5
5-5
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
23.9
18.3
10
63%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.2
12.9
23.5
4
52%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
1-3
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
8.8
10.9
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
7.6
12.0
2
17%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.4
6.5
14.4
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
4.1
12.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
17.8
1
1-3
48%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.