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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards42%10289
14Hawks58%105100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
37.7
32.1
23
48%
2
4
2
1
0
7
1
1
2-4
50%
6-16
4-9
38%
46%
3-6
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.9
33.6
30.7
19
63%
9
0
0
1
2
0
3
6
5-7
71%
7-12
4-9
58%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.7
32.8
23.8
7
60%
10
5
2
0
0
2
0
10
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
18.1
11.8
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
17.0
35.2
5
50%
4
1
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
6-12
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
34.2
28.8
13
71%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
3-5
60%
5-7
5-11
71%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.1
30.0
25.1
9
35%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
12.5
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.6
11.3
12.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.8
10.1
6.2
7
72%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
2.7
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
16.8
1
1-3
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
39.3
32.1
10
42%
12
0
0
1
5
1
3
9
2-2
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.5
32.4
30.0
6
33%
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.4
31.7
29.9
10
52%
9
0
2
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.3
30.0
36.9
17
45%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
7-7
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.9
29.1
34.2
20
76%
8
2
0
1
2
4
4
4
4-5
80%
8-11
6-12
73%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.6
24.8
22.4
16
59%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.3
18.9
8.9
7
60%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
16.6
17.2
8
103%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
8.7
15.6
4
72%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.4
8.6
12.7
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.9
3.2
0
0-0
39%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.8
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.