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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Thunder34%8891
20Pistons66%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
43.1
38.0
25
54%
12
1
2
1
0
1
1
11
8-9
89%
7-17
7-14
41%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
35.3
35.0
16
51%
4
2
2
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
34.2
32.6
10
34%
5
10
1
1
2
5
1
4
6-8
75%
2-9
4-10
22%
42%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
31.4
24.1
8
60%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-6
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
23.7
25.6
14
71%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
22.7
8.2
6
47%
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
16.6
17.6
2
17%
2
8
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.0
16.0
18.6
8
80%
8
0
0
0
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.8
14.1
9.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
2.9
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.1
8.4
0
1-2
45%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
7.6
0
1-3
46%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.7
44.0
31.5
11
56%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-2
0%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
39.6
28.0
25
52%
7
4
1
1
1
2
0
7
7-9
78%
6-15
4-8
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.5
36.6
27.9
21
51%
5
2
2
1
0
3
0
5
12-13
92%
3-12
5-10
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.2
33.7
19.6
8
31%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
1-5
20%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
32.2
23.6
2
100%
12
3
3
1
2
1
3
9
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
24.3
20.4
11
43%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.6
15.8
21.1
4
69%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.7
12.7
20.0
1
57%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.4
1.2
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
9.4
0
1-3
52%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.2
6.8
0
0-1
44%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.7
6.0
0
1-1
49%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.7
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.