FinalWin Prob.pScore
1646%102
96
1854%103
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.59191.5
IND logo IND
91.29190.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND96
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDHead 1' Layup (12 PTS)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)96
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26INDGranger 1' Layup (22 PTS)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 1:52INDMISS Head 15' Jump Shot91
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 2:09MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)91
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:30INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T15)89
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 2:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 2:48MIAJones BLOCK (2 BLK)89
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 3:04INDJones Foul Turnover (P3.T14)89
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS)89
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 3:41INDGranger 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)87
96.2%
79
3.8%
Q4 - 3:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)87
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 287
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 4:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 4:19INDMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot87
98.7%
76
1.3%
Q4 - 4:38INDPACERS Rebound87
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot87
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 4:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)87
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 4:53INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 4:59INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot87
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 5:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)87
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 5:20INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot87
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)87
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q4 - 5:57INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
96.2%
76
3.8%
Q4 - 5:57INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
96.0%
74
4.0%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
95.7%
74
4.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAHeat Rebound83
94.7%
74
5.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWatson BLOCK (2 BLK)83
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q4 - 6:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
94.8%
74
5.2%
Q4 - 6:34INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 6:53MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T15)83
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q4 - 7:06INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)83
93.4%
74
6.6%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 282
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q4 - 7:29INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot82
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 8:01INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 3 AST)81
93.6%
71
6.4%
Q4 - 8:15MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q4 - 8:29INDHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)79
93.7%
69
6.3%
Q4 - 8:43INDPACERS Rebound79
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot79
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
93.8%
69
6.2%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot79
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 8:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
93.8%
69
6.2%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot79
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 9:11MIAHeat Rebound79
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q4 - 9:12INDMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q4 - 9:20INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)79
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
92.5%
69
7.5%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot79
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q4 - 10:02INDHead 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)79
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q4 - 10:17MIAArroyo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T14)79
92.9%
67
7.1%
Q4 - 10:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot79
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q4 - 10:54INDHead 4' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q4 - 11:03MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)79
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHeat Rebound79
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q4 - 11:20INDMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot79
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q4 - 11:27INDJump Ball Jones vs. Haslem: Tip to Head79
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q4 - 11:30MIAMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)79
94.9%
65
5.1%
Q4 - 11:50INDHead 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
95.6%
65
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND79
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 278
96.3%
63
3.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot78
95.2%
63
4.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)78
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0INDMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.0%
61
3.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)78
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)76
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
94.3%
61
5.7%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q3 - 1:23INDJones 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)74
93.1%
61
6.9%
Q3 - 1:38MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T11)74
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 1:56INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)74
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q3 - 2:07INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
95.4%
57
4.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot74
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
96.2%
57
3.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot74
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 2:43INDJones Foul Turnover (P2.T11)74
96.2%
57
3.8%
Q3 - 2:49INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot74
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 3:03INDMISS Hibbert 3' Layup74
95.5%
57
4.5%
Q3 - 3:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
94.7%
57
5.3%
Q3 - 3:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
94.0%
57
6.0%
Q3 - 3:41INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 272
93.8%
57
6.2%
Q3 - 3:41INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 3:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 4:12INDJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)70
92.3%
56
7.7%
Q3 - 4:19INDJump Ball Ford vs. Cook: Tip to Jones70
90.8%
56
9.2%
Q3 - 4:19MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 4:19MIAFord BLOCK (1 BLK)70
91.3%
56
8.7%
Q3 - 4:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 4:30INDMISS Ford 1' Layup70
91.9%
56
8.1%
Q3 - 4:33MIAFord STEAL (1 STL)70
90.8%
56
9.2%
Q3 - 4:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 4:56INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 270
92.2%
56
7.8%
Q3 - 4:56INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
91.2%
56
8.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)70
91.2%
55
8.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
90.0%
55
10.0%
Q3 - 5:20INDMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot68
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 5:22INDJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
88.2%
55
11.8%
Q3 - 5:23INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 5:36MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)68
88.2%
55
11.8%
Q3 - 5:53INDJones 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)68
90.1%
55
9.9%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 267
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 6:16INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
89.0%
53
11.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
88.7%
53
11.3%
Q3 - 6:46INDJones 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)65
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q3 - 6:58INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 165
89.3%
51
10.7%
Q3 - 7:00INDMurphy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
83.8%
51
16.2%
Q3 - 7:15INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
82.2%
51
17.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIABeasley 2' Dunk (10 PTS)61
79.7%
51
20.3%
Q3 - 7:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
77.3%
51
22.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
75.2%
51
24.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
77.3%
51
22.7%
Q3 - 7:50INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot59
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 7:58INDPACERS Rebound59
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 7:59INDMISS Rush 28' 3PT Jump Shot59
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)59
73.5%
51
26.5%
Q3 - 8:23INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 8:23INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIAO'Neal 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)57
73.5%
49
26.5%
Q3 - 8:52INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
70.7%
49
29.3%
Q3 - 9:05MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
73.1%
47
26.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
72.5%
47
27.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound53
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q3 - 9:28INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Shot53
69.2%
47
30.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
66.9%
47
33.1%
Q3 - 9:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
70.2%
47
29.8%
Q3 - 9:55INDMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
69.2%
47
30.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
66.3%
47
33.7%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)51
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q3 - 10:27MIAHeat Rebound51
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q3 - 10:28INDMISS Granger 3' Jump Shot51
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 10:41MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 10:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q3 - 10:49INDMISS Murphy 9' Jump Shot51
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 11:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q3 - 11:07INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
61.6%
47
38.4%
Q3 - 11:18MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)51
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
62.7%
47
37.3%
Q3 - 11:27INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot51
61.7%
47
38.3%
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)51
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot49
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0INDJones 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
55.4%
47
44.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
59.4%
45
40.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 249
62.3%
44
37.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q2 - 1:14INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)47
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q2 - 1:25INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
65.4%
41
34.6%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot47
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
67.6%
41
32.4%
Q2 - 1:40INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 247
67.3%
41
32.7%
Q2 - 1:40INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q2 - 1:40INDPACERS Rebound47
68.4%
40
31.6%
Q2 - 1:40INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot47
69.8%
40
30.2%
Q2 - 2:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)47
68.4%
40
31.6%
Q2 - 2:21INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
70.2%
40
29.8%
Q2 - 2:21INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
70.8%
39
29.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAChalmers 16' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
72.7%
38
27.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 2:47INDMISS Head 17' Jump Shot45
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade 10' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)45
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q2 - 3:17INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
64.5%
38
35.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)43
61.0%
38
39.0%
Q2 - 3:46INDJones 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Head 2 AST)41
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q2 - 4:11MIAWade 4' Layup (10 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)41
60.5%
36
39.5%
Q2 - 4:34INDHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)39
57.9%
36
42.1%
Q2 - 4:52INDPACERS Rebound39
63.5%
33
36.5%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot39
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 5:05INDGranger 6' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)39
66.0%
33
34.0%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Granger Free Throw Technical39
68.7%
31
31.3%
Q2 - 5:19MIAO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)39
68.7%
31
31.3%
Q2 - 5:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
66.0%
31
34.0%
Q2 - 5:26INDMISS Jones 3' Layup37
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 5:45INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
63.3%
31
36.7%
Q2 - 5:46INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
65.2%
31
34.8%
Q2 - 6:04INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
62.4%
31
37.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)37
63.4%
31
36.6%
Q2 - 6:25INDHibbert 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Head 1 AST)37
65.6%
31
34.4%
Q2 - 6:41MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)37
67.8%
29
32.2%
Q2 - 6:58INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 7:01INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q2 - 7:02INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot35
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q2 - 7:10INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
67.5%
27
32.5%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot35
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 7:26INDHibbert 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
72.2%
25
27.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q2 - 8:04INDMurphy 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)33
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q2 - 8:17INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)33
71.3%
23
28.7%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q2 - 8:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
73.6%
23
26.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot33
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
73.6%
23
26.4%
Q2 - 8:50INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot33
73.0%
23
27.0%
Q2 - 8:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
71.4%
23
28.6%
Q2 - 8:52INDMISS Jones 1' Layup33
73.0%
23
27.0%
Q2 - 9:01INDHead Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
70.5%
23
29.5%
Q2 - 9:12MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
72.7%
22
27.3%
Q2 - 9:12MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q2 - 9:21INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
70.7%
22
29.3%
Q2 - 9:21INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
71.2%
21
28.8%
Q2 - 9:35INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)31
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
73.4%
20
26.6%
Q2 - 9:48MIACook Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)31
74.9%
20
25.1%
Q2 - 10:05INDWatson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
72.4%
20
27.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIABeasley Layup (4 PTS)30
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q2 - 10:40INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
72.4%
18
27.6%
Q2 - 10:40INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
72.8%
17
27.2%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)28
74.3%
16
25.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
75.7%
16
24.3%
Q2 - 11:11INDMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
75.1%
16
24.9%
Q2 - 11:17INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
73.7%
16
26.3%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot28
74.3%
16
25.7%
Q2 - 11:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
75.7%
16
24.3%
Q2 - 11:33INDMISS Jones Layup28
75.1%
16
24.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
73.7%
16
26.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
75.7%
16
24.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound28
75.7%
16
24.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
73.4%
16
26.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)28
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDPACERS Rebound28
72.9%
16
27.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)28
72.9%
16
27.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)28
73.0%
16
27.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot28
73.4%
16
26.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)28
74.5%
16
25.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
73.0%
16
27.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot28
74.1%
16
25.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)28
72.3%
16
27.7%
Q1 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
69.8%
16
30.2%
Q1 - 1:37INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
69.4%
16
30.6%
Q1 - 1:47INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 1:48INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
69.4%
16
30.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIACook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 2:05INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHaslem 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)23
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
58.9%
16
41.1%
Q1 - 2:29INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot21
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 2:39INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
57.0%
16
43.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot21
57.6%
16
42.4%
Q1 - 3:00INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
58.9%
16
41.1%
Q1 - 3:05MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)21
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)19
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)19
54.7%
15
45.3%
Q1 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)19
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 3:33INDPACERS Rebound19
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 3:33INDMISS Granger 2' Layup19
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 3:49INDPACERS Rebound19
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 3:49INDMISS Ford 11' Jump Shot19
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 3:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot19
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 4:14INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot19
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)19
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 4:53INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 4:53INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 5:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
57.6%
11
42.4%
Q1 - 5:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 5:32INDJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)15
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 5:36INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)15
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 5:36INDMISS Murphy 3' Jump Shot15
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 5:49INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 5:59INDMISS Ford Layup15
59.3%
9
40.7%
Q1 - 6:19MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
57.0%
9
43.0%
Q1 - 6:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 6:27INDMISS Ford 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
54.7%
9
45.3%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)13
53.2%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 6:56INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)11
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 7:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIARush BLOCK (1 BLK)11
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 7:24INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot11
56.6%
6
43.4%
Q1 - 7:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
55.1%
6
44.9%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup11
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 7:44INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot11
56.6%
6
43.4%
Q1 - 8:04INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 111
55.3%
6
44.7%
Q1 - 8:07INDFord Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)9
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 8:19INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 19
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 8:36INDFord 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)7
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 8:45MIARichardson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 9:14INDFord 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 9:23INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup5
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 9:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 9:37INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 9:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 9:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)4
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 10:10INDRush 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 10:26MIABeasley 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 10:31INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 10:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)1
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:44INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot1
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 10:48INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:49INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot1
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)1
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot1
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 11:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:20INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot1
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 21
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 11:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:48INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. O'Neal: Tip to Granger0
44.9%
0
55.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
IND
0.87 43.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
20
60%
IND
9
22
41%
Midrange
MIA
17
42
40%
IND
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
7
14%
21%
IND
4
6.0
23
17%
26%
Free Throws
MIA
35
46
76%
IND
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3257%16.0 / 28
J. O'Neal2258%11.0 / 19
M. Beasley1255%6.0 / 11
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
M. Chalmers8100%4.0 / 4
J. Anthony675%3.0 / 4
D. Cook422%2.0 / 9
Q. Richardson250%1.0 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2246%11.0 / 24
T. Murphy1250%6.0 / 12
S. Jones1275%6.0 / 8
L. Head1267%6.0 / 9
R. Hibbert840%4.0 / 10
T. Ford735%3.5 / 10
D. Jones630%3.0 / 10
B. Rush225%1.0 / 4
E. Watson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+15
-15
91
IND
77
+17
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
IND
0.87 43.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
103.8
MIA 105.5
IND 91.2 +14.3
Pace
89.6
97.0
MIA 91.5 +1.0
IND 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.5
MIA 15.7 +0.2
IND 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.1%
MIA 44.2% +5.0%
IND 39.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.7%
MIA 14.4% +0.6%
IND 15.0%
ORB %
26.0%
21.6%
MIA 32.5% +5.2%
IND 27.3%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
MIA 66.7 +33.8
IND 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
57.3%
MIA 53.3%
IND 55.2% +1.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.4%
MIA 7.7% +3.3%
IND 4.4%
BLK %
9.4%
8.0%
MIA 5.4%
IND 14.5% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.2%
MIA 52.7% +9.0%
IND 43.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
57.4%
MIA 60.0% +19.1%
IND 40.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.8%
MIA 40.5%
IND 47.1% +6.6%
3P %
34.6%
34.8%
MIA 14.3%
IND 17.4% +3.1%
FT %
75.2%
77.5%
MIA 76.1%
IND 80.8% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
33.3%
MIA 29.0% +1.1%
IND 27.8%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
38.9%
MIA 60.9%
IND 43.0% +17.8%
3P Att. %
21.9%
27.8%
MIA 10.1%
IND 29.1% +19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9683
Rebounds4539
Assists1616
Steals74
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)27 (3)
Field Goals30-6929-79
At-the-Rim FG12-209-22
Midrange FG17-4216-34
2-Point FG29-6225-56
3-Point FG1-74-23
Free Throws35-4621-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
34.9
32
57%
3
4
3
1
2
5
1
2
14-19
74%
9-16
56%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
34.3
8
100%
2
6
1
0
2
1
0
2
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
32.4
22
58%
12
1
0
1
1
4
1
11
8-12
67%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
29.1
12
55%
9
1
2
0
3
3
3
6
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
28.3
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
28.8
10
50%
10
0
1
0
3
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
17.3
4
22%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
15.6
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
13.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
45
16
7
3
15
0
13
32
35-46
76%
29-62
47%
1-7
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.