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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers82%106104
28Timberwolves18%9487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
35.5
28.0
13
63%
11
2
3
1
0
3
4
7
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.9
35.1
35.9
20
58%
2
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
49%
3-4
75%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
33.4
40.0
24
62%
9
6
1
2
1
2
2
7
2-3
67%
8-15
8-16
53%
53%
2-3
67%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.4
33.2
35.3
6
40%
2
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.7
18.9
25.2
6
41%
7
3
0
1
3
3
1
6
0-3
0%
3-6
5-9
50%
58%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.4
29.5
19.5
15
50%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
7-14
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.7
28.9
24.7
14
75%
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
4-8
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.4
13.7
16.7
4
50%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.2
7.5
7.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
2.7
1.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.0
1.8
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
2.1
0
0-1
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.3
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.7
30.3
22.9
11
62%
4
1
2
1
2
3
2
2
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
40%
0-1
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.7
26.4
27.1
17
72%
2
3
1
1
0
5
1
1
4-4
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
40%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.8
25.4
32.0
12
39%
8
3
0
1
1
2
4
4
2-3
67%
5-14
8-17
36%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.8
23.9
19.9
4
29%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
20.9
22.6
4
29%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
25.0
18.8
9
51%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-4
25%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
23.0
20.4
4
23%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
21.6
21.5
4
25%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
20.1
17.1
9
64%
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
1-3
33%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.9
10.5
7.8
9
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
9.1
17.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
3.7
7.7
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.9
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.