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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic69%10495
22Nets31%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.9
37.4
31.4
20
63%
22
1
1
1
4
4
4
18
4-11
36%
8-10
5-9
80%
58%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
28.2
26.7
2
20%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
22.9
23.5
16
74%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.7
21.7
23.3
9
51%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
14.7
30.4
16
90%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
28.9
18.4
12
51%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-7
1-2
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 33.9
26.6
12.7
4
33%
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.5
25.1
19.7
13
62%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.6
23.8
19.7
1
7%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-3
33%
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
10.6
16.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
20.2
1
2-4
48%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
6.2
0
1-1
43%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
40.5
32.5
18
47%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
4-14
3-6
29%
46%
2-3
67%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
35.6
20.4
6
43%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.7
34.3
30.3
16
37%
5
7
2
1
0
0
0
5
4-8
50%
6-15
4-9
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
33.5
30.0
12
68%
5
0
1
1
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
41%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.6
25.1
34.7
11
52%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
5-6
83%
3-8
6-12
38%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
22.6
11.8
4
40%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
20.1
26.7
8
45%
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-8
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.3
16.9
24.2
10
51%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
2-4
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
11.6
5.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.4
11.2
0
1-1
44%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
10.1
0
1-2
45%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
5.7
0
1-1
47%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.