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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Clippers23%9598
7Jazz77%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
41.7
36.1
21
68%
4
2
1
1
3
2
0
4
5-8
63%
8-12
6-13
67%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.8
40.0
35.6
22
67%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
4-7
57%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
36.7
23.0
12
40%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
8-11
73%
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.5
34.8
31.6
21
65%
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
4
6-7
86%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
30.1
29.3
6
33%
13
3
0
1
3
0
1
12
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.4
17.4
29.2
7
70%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.0
15.9
14.0
7
47%
4
2
0
0
3
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.4
15.1
16.9
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
8.2
7.6
2
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.1
6.2
0
0-1
43%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
2.9
0
0-0
39%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.4
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
42.5
33.3
5
29%
4
7
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-6
5-10
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.9
41.5
30.1
20
43%
12
7
1
1
0
3
0
12
2-3
67%
9-22
6-12
41%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
38.7
38.1
21
50%
4
9
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-5
60%
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
2-6
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.6
34.4
33.7
17
72%
5
2
1
2
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
54%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
19.8
6.0
10
83%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-1
83%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.7
25.3
24.9
23
81%
9
0
1
1
2
0
3
6
5-5
100%
9-12
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
17.6
15.5
8
48%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
12.7
5.3
5
46%
8
1
0
0
1
0
5
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
5.3
7.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.0
2.3
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
29.7
1
4-8
49%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.6
12.6
0
1-2
47%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.