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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Warriors32%102101
10Suns68%108123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
39.1
30.3
12
67%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
31.8
34.5
19
44%
5
3
2
1
0
5
2
3
4-6
67%
6-18
8-16
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
29.1
24.8
13
47%
0
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
24.7
12.2
12
48%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
8-8
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
47%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
20.7
29.7
8
100%
10
4
1
1
0
0
0
10
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
25.2
19.9
7
46%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
23.1
21.8
17
61%
3
0
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
19.0
20.4
9
47%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
16.3
24.1
2
50%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
8.1
2.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
54%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
2.9
14.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
2.6
0
0-1
40%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.7
37.5
33.8
18
52%
6
20
0
1
1
3
1
5
1-1
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
53%
3-6
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
35.1
28.8
18
59%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
7-13
5-10
54%
53%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
34.1
20.5
22
92%
8
0
3
1
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
6-7
86%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.9
33.3
34.3
24
79%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
7-8
6-11
88%
52%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
30.4
33.8
20
57%
5
0
2
1
1
5
2
3
6-10
60%
7-13
7-12
54%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
21.6
21.8
6
37%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-5
40%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
20.5
11.2
7
62%
8
0
0
0
3
2
2
6
3-6
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
13.7
11.6
8
68%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
9.4
18.9
0
0%
3
2
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
2.9
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.9
1.5
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
15.1
1
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.