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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets32%95104
16Wizards68%101123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
41.2
36.0
17
51%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
7-8
88%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
38.7
28.2
25
72%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
11-12
92%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
31.5
31.5
6
28%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-10
3-8
20%
42%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.3
30.9
20.3
20
84%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
41%
3-3
100%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.6
28.0
29.5
13
73%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
6-8
5-10
75%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
27.8
23.3
9
35%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
43%
2-3
67%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
17.5
7.9
6
44%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
12.8
17.4
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
7.2
3.9
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.4
4.5
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.7
31.6
1
5-10
47%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
7.2
0
1-1
44%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.1
36.3
27.0
17
66%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.7
34.9
28.4
9
65%
11
3
2
1
0
2
2
9
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
2-3
67%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
29.4
34.5
32
88%
1
7
1
2
0
3
0
1
11-12
92%
6-9
5-10
67%
47%
3-4
75%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.9
28.9
31.9
10
44%
7
0
0
1
1
2
3
4
2-3
67%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
23.8
15.6
4
50%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.6
28.4
12.9
10
83%
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
2-4
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
27.7
31.1
30
83%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
15-18
5-11
83%
49%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.8
12.3
9.5
5
64%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
11.7
11.5
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
3.4
9.0
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
3.4
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
12.8
0
1-2
42%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.