Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 31, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	23	Bobcats	14%	86	79
	1	Cavaliers	86%	101	90

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	97.5	81	83.8
CLE	109.8	82	79.4

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+14

-17

CLE

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

CLE

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE
Q4 - 0:00.0	CLE		79 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:20.0	CHA	Ajinca 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)	79 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0	CLE	Gibson Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)	77 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0	CHA	Henderson 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)	77 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	75 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0	CLE	MISS Moon 23' Jump Shot	75 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 1:16	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	75 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 1:16	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	74 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 1:27	CLE	CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 1:51	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 1:52	CHA	MISS Henderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:02	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:03	CLE	MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Hook Shot	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:23	CHA	Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 9 AST)	73 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 2:47	CLE	Williams 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)	70 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 3:01	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	70 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 3:02	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	70 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 3:18	CLE	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 9 AST)	70 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 3:36	CHA	Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)	70 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q4 - 3:49	CLE	West Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)	70 0.3%	84 99.7%
Q4 - 4:15	CHA	Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 8 AST)	70 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q4 - 4:35	CLE	Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)	67 0.2%	82 99.8%
Q4 - 4:43	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	67 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 4:44	CHA	MISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot	67 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:03	CLE	CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)	67 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q4 - 5:03	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	67 0.2%	82 99.8%
Q4 - 5:04	CLE	MISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot	67 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q4 - 5:29	CHA	Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)	67 0.2%	82 99.8%
Q4 - 5:48	CLE	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	64 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:48	CLE	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	64 0.1%	81 99.9%
Q4 - 6:04	CHA	O'Neal STEAL (1 STL)	64 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 6:23	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q4 - 6:24	CLE	MISS James 22' Jump Shot	64 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 6:50	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	64 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 6:51	CHA	MISS Felton 10' Jump Shot	64 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 7:10	CLE	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 8 AST)	64 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q4 - 7:28	CHA	Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	64 0.8%	77 99.2%
Q4 - 7:31	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	64 1.1%	77 98.9%
Q4 - 7:32	CHA	Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)	64 0.9%	77 99.1%
Q4 - 7:50	CLE	Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)	64 1.1%	77 98.9%
Q4 - 8:11	CHA	Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)	64 2.3%	74 97.7%
Q4 - 8:22	CLE	Williams Foul Turnover (P4.T15)	61 1.4%	74 98.6%
Q4 - 8:35	CHA	Chandler 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	61 1.1%	74 98.9%
Q4 - 8:47	CHA	Augustin Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)	59 0.8%	74 99.2%
Q4 - 8:47	CLE	Hickson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)	58 0.6%	74 99.4%
Q4 - 8:51	CHA	West STEAL (1 STL)	58 0.5%	74 99.5%
Q4 - 9:00	CLE	West Foul Turnover (P2.T13)	58 0.6%	74 99.4%
Q4 - 9:05	CLE	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	58 0.7%	74 99.3%
Q4 - 9:06	CHA	MISS Henderson 11' Jump Shot	58 0.7%	74 99.3%
Q4 - 9:18	CLE	Gibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)	58 0.8%	74 99.2%
Q4 - 9:37	CHA	Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)	58 0.7%	74 99.3%
Q4 - 9:54	CLE	Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	55 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 10:06	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	55 0.6%	72 99.4%
Q4 - 10:09	CHA	MISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2	55 0.7%	72 99.3%
Q4 - 10:09	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	55 0.8%	72 99.2%
Q4 - 10:26	CLE	West 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	54 0.6%	72 99.4%
Q4 - 10:37	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	54 0.8%	70 99.2%
Q4 - 10:38	CHA	MISS Diaw 13' Hook Shot	54 0.8%	70 99.2%
Q4 - 10:58	CLE	West 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	54 1.0%	70 99.0%
Q4 - 11:21	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	54 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q4 - 11:22	CHA	MISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot	54 1.5%	68 98.5%
Q4 - 11:48	CLE	Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 2 AST)	54 1.7%	68 98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE		54 2.2%	66 97.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0	CHA	Wallace 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)	54 2.4%	66 97.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	52 1.9%	66 98.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0	CLE	MISS Gibson 10' Running Jump Shot	52 1.8%	66 98.2%
Q3 - 1:00	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	52 1.6%	66 98.4%
Q3 - 1:00	CHA	MISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 2	52 1.6%	66 98.4%
Q3 - 1:00	CHA	Augustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	52 1.9%	66 98.1%
Q3 - 1:09	CLE	West 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST)	51 1.7%	66 98.3%
Q3 - 1:29	CHA	Diaw Foul Turnover (P1.T15)	51 2.5%	63 97.5%
Q3 - 1:38	CLE	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	51 3.0%	63 97.0%
Q3 - 1:38	CLE	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	51 3.1%	62 96.9%
Q3 - 1:58	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)	51 3.7%	61 96.3%
Q3 - 1:58	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	51 4.4%	61 95.6%
Q3 - 1:58	CHA	MISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot	51 3.9%	61 96.1%
Q3 - 2:23	CLE	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	51 4.6%	61 95.4%
Q3 - 2:23	CLE	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	51 4.8%	60 95.2%
Q3 - 2:30	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	51 5.5%	59 94.5%
Q3 - 2:31	CHA	MISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot	51 5.8%	59 94.2%
Q3 - 2:52	CLE	West 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)	51 6.5%	59 93.5%
Q3 - 3:11	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	51 7.7%	57 92.3%
Q3 - 3:11	CHA	MISS Mohammed 19' Jump Shot	51 8.1%	57 91.9%
Q3 - 3:15	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	51 9.2%	57 90.8%
Q3 - 3:16	CHA	MISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot	51 8.1%	57 91.9%
Q3 - 3:37	CLE	James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)	51 9.2%	57 90.8%
Q3 - 3:50	CHA	Augustin Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	51 7.7%	57 92.3%
Q3 - 3:50	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	50 6.5%	57 93.5%
Q3 - 3:50	CHA	Chandler 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)	50 6.5%	57 93.5%
Q3 - 3:51	CHA	MISS Wallace 3' Jump Shot	48 4.9%	57 95.1%
Q3 - 4:18	CLE	James Driving Layup (12 PTS)	48 5.8%	57 94.2%
Q3 - 4:28	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	48 6.6%	55 93.4%
Q3 - 4:29	CLE	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	48 7.5%	55 92.5%
Q3 - 4:59	CLE	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 6.6%	55 93.4%
Q3 - 5:00	CHA	MISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot	48 7.0%	55 93.0%
Q3 - 5:14	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	48 8.0%	55 92.0%
Q3 - 5:17	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	48 6.7%	55 93.3%
Q3 - 5:17	CLE	MISS O'Neal 1' Tip Shot	48 7.6%	55 92.4%
Q3 - 5:19	CLE	MISS James 17' Jump Shot	48 7.6%	55 92.4%
Q3 - 5:28	CHA	Varejao STEAL (3 STL)	48 6.7%	55 93.3%
Q3 - 5:58	CLE	James 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	48 8.0%	55 92.0%
Q3 - 6:18	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)	48 9.1%	53 90.9%
Q3 - 6:25	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	48 10.7%	53 89.3%
Q3 - 6:27	CLE	MISS Parker 1' Layup	48 10.2%	53 89.8%
Q3 - 6:32	CHA	Parker STEAL (2 STL)	48 9.1%	53 90.9%
Q3 - 6:44	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	48 10.7%	53 89.3%
Q3 - 6:45	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	48 9.1%	53 90.9%
Q3 - 6:45	CLE	MISS O'Neal Tip Shot	48 10.2%	53 89.8%
Q3 - 6:46	CLE	MISS Williams 3' Jump Shot	48 10.2%	53 89.8%
Q3 - 7:06	CHA	Wallace Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	48 9.2%	53 90.8%
Q3 - 7:29	CLE	James 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	48 10.7%	53 89.3%
Q3 - 7:51	CHA	Radmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	48 12.1%	51 87.9%
Q3 - 7:51	CHA	Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	47 11.7%	51 88.3%
Q3 - 8:17	CLE	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	46 10.6%	51 89.4%
Q3 - 8:32	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	46 13.7%	48 86.3%
Q3 - 8:33	CHA	MISS Felton 15' Jump Shot	46 14.3%	48 85.7%
Q3 - 8:56	CLE	James 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)	46 15.7%	48 84.3%
Q3 - 8:58	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	46 17.7%	46 82.3%
Q3 - 8:59	CHA	Varejao BLOCK (1 BLK)	46 18.4%	46 81.6%
Q3 - 9:22	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	46 19.7%	46 80.3%
Q3 - 9:23	CLE	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	46 19.3%	46 80.7%
Q3 - 9:23	CLE	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	46 17.7%	46 82.3%
Q3 - 9:25	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	46 19.6%	45 80.4%
Q3 - 9:27	CHA	O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)	46 20.4%	45 79.6%
Q3 - 9:33	CLE	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	46 22.1%	45 77.9%
Q3 - 9:41	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	46 19.6%	45 80.4%
Q3 - 9:43	CHA	MISS Radmanovic 22' Jump Shot	46 20.4%	45 79.6%
Q3 - 9:58	CLE	Varejao Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	46 22.1%	45 77.9%
Q3 - 9:59	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 19.6%	45 80.4%
Q3 - 10:02	CLE	MISS James 20' Jump Shot	46 20.7%	45 79.3%
Q3 - 10:18	CHA	Felton 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)	46 19.1%	45 80.9%
Q3 - 10:31	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	44 17.0%	45 83.0%
Q3 - 10:32	CLE	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	44 16.4%	45 83.6%
Q3 - 10:45	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44 15.1%	45 84.9%
Q3 - 10:46	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	44 15.3%	45 84.7%
Q3 - 10:46	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	44 16.6%	45 83.4%
Q3 - 11:03	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 14.8%	45 85.2%
Q3 - 11:04	CLE	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	43 14.2%	45 85.8%
Q3 - 11:12	CHA	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	43 13.0%	45 87.0%
Q3 - 11:32	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43 14.8%	45 85.2%
Q3 - 11:33	CLE	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2	43 14.6%	45 85.4%
Q3 - 11:33	CLE	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2	43 13.8%	45 86.2%
Q3 - 11:48	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	43 13.1%	45 86.9%
Q3 - 11:48	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	42 12.7%	45 87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CLE		41 11.6%	45 88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	Felton 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	41 10.2%	45 89.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	39 9.0%	45 91.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0	CLE	MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39 8.8%	45 91.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0	CHA	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	39 8.2%	45 91.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0	CHA	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2	38 7.8%	45 92.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	38 8.0%	45 92.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0	CLE	MISS Varejao 2' Layup	38 7.7%	45 92.3%
Q2 - 1:01	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 7.3%	45 92.7%
Q2 - 1:02	CHA	MISS Diaw 22' Jump Shot	38 7.5%	45 92.5%
Q2 - 1:21	CLE	James 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	38 8.0%	45 92.0%
Q2 - 1:47	CHA	Wallace 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)	38 9.3%	43 90.7%
Q2 - 2:01	CLE	Williams 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)	36 8.1%	43 91.9%
Q2 - 2:06	CHA	Varejao STEAL (2 STL)	36 9.0%	41 91.0%
Q2 - 2:27	CLE	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	36 10.2%	41 89.8%
Q2 - 2:42	CHA	Wallace 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	36 12.7%	38 87.3%
Q2 - 2:45	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34 11.4%	38 88.6%
Q2 - 2:46	CHA	MISS Mohammed 16' Jump Shot	34 10.5%	38 89.5%
Q2 - 2:50	CHA	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 11.4%	38 88.6%
Q2 - 2:51	CHA	MISS Felton 22' Jump Shot	34 10.5%	38 89.5%
Q2 - 3:07	CLE	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	34 11.3%	38 88.7%
Q2 - 3:31	CHA	Diaw 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)	34 13.8%	35 86.2%
Q2 - 3:46	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 12.7%	35 87.3%
Q2 - 3:47	CLE	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	32 12.5%	35 87.5%
Q2 - 3:47	CLE	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	32 11.6%	35 88.4%
Q2 - 3:49	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	32 12.4%	34 87.6%
Q2 - 3:50	CHA	MISS Felton 3' Layup	32 12.9%	34 87.1%
Q2 - 4:04	CLE	James Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)	32 13.7%	34 86.3%
Q2 - 4:05	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 12.2%	34 87.8%
Q2 - 4:09	CHA	MISS Augustin 12' Fadeaway Jumper	32 12.7%	34 87.3%
Q2 - 4:30	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 13.8%	34 86.2%
Q2 - 4:31	CLE	MISS Williams 21' Jump Shot	32 13.3%	34 86.7%
Q2 - 4:48	CHA	Chandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)	32 12.2%	34 87.8%
Q2 - 5:10	CLE	Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)	32 13.6%	34 86.4%
Q2 - 5:32	CLE	Hickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 16.7%	31 83.3%
Q2 - 5:33	CHA	MISS Felton 17' Jump Shot	32 17.2%	31 82.8%
Q2 - 5:50	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 18.4%	31 81.6%
Q2 - 5:52	CLE	MISS Parker 12' Turnaround Bank Shot	32 17.8%	31 82.2%
Q2 - 6:09	CHA	Augustin 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	32 16.5%	31 83.5%
Q2 - 6:25	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	30 15.2%	31 84.8%
Q2 - 6:27	CHA	MISS Radmanovic 3' Layup	30 14.0%	31 86.0%
Q2 - 6:46	CLE	Hickson Dunk (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)	30 15.2%	31 84.8%
Q2 - 6:51	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 16.5%	29 83.5%
Q2 - 6:52	CHA	MISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot	30 17.1%	29 82.9%
Q2 - 7:15	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 17.8%	29 82.2%
Q2 - 7:16	CLE	MISS Hickson 1' Dunk	30 17.2%	29 82.8%
Q2 - 7:23	CHA	Gibson STEAL (1 STL)	30 16.1%	29 83.9%
Q2 - 7:41	CLE	Ilgauskas 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	30 17.8%	29 82.2%
Q2 - 7:59	CHA	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	30 19.4%	27 80.6%
Q2 - 7:59	CHA	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2	29 18.8%	27 81.2%
Q2 - 8:03	CLE	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	29 19.0%	27 81.0%
Q2 - 8:19	CHA	Mohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	29 17.4%	27 82.6%
Q2 - 8:21	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	29 19.0%	27 81.0%
Q2 - 8:22	CHA	Ilgauskas BLOCK (5 BLK)	29 17.8%	27 82.2%
Q2 - 8:23	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	29 19.0%	27 81.0%
Q2 - 8:24	CHA	Ilgauskas BLOCK (4 BLK)	29 17.8%	27 82.2%
Q2 - 8:26	CHA	Radmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	29 19.0%	27 81.0%
Q2 - 8:27	CHA	MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot	29 17.9%	27 82.1%
Q2 - 8:48	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 19.0%	27 81.0%
Q2 - 8:49	CLE	MISS Gibson 3PT Jump Shot	29 18.5%	27 81.5%
Q2 - 9:12	CHA	Radmanovic 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	29 16.9%	27 83.1%
Q2 - 9:30	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	27 15.6%	27 84.4%
Q2 - 9:31	CLE	MISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot	27 15.1%	27 84.9%
Q2 - 9:45	CHA	Mohammed 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	27 14.2%	27 85.8%
Q2 - 10:15	CLE	Ilgauskas 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)	25 13.1%	27 86.9%
Q2 - 10:36	CHA	Radmanovic 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)	25 14.2%	25 85.8%
Q2 - 10:51	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 13.1%	25 86.9%
Q2 - 10:52	CLE	MISS West 17' Jump Shot	23 12.7%	25 87.3%
Q2 - 11:11	CLE	Gibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 11.9%	25 88.1%
Q2 - 11:12	CHA	MISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 12.3%	25 87.7%
Q2 - 11:22	CLE	Hickson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	23 13.1%	25 86.9%
Q2 - 11:43	CHA	Graham 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	23 11.9%	25 88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CLE		21 10.9%	25 89.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	21 10.7%	25 89.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0	CLE	MISS James 1' Layup	21 10.5%	25 89.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	21 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0	CHA	Ilgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)	21 10.2%	25 89.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0	CLE	Varejao 3' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)	21 10.8%	25 89.2%
Q1 - 1:05	CHA	Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	21 12.0%	23 88.0%
Q1 - 1:25	CLE	Varejao 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)	18 9.8%	23 90.2%
Q1 - 1:27	CLE	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 11.0%	21 89.0%
Q1 - 1:30	CHA	Ilgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)	18 11.2%	21 88.8%
Q1 - 1:37	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 11.7%	21 88.3%
Q1 - 1:38	CHA	Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 11.2%	21 88.8%
Q1 - 2:00	CLE	Varejao 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18 11.7%	21 88.3%
Q1 - 2:23	CHA	Mohammed 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)	18 13.0%	19 87.0%
Q1 - 2:40	CLE	Williams 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	16 11.8%	19 88.2%
Q1 - 2:53	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	16 13.0%	17 87.0%
Q1 - 2:54	CLE	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	16 13.6%	17 86.4%
Q1 - 3:03	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 12.6%	17 87.4%
Q1 - 3:04	CLE	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	16 13.6%	17 86.4%
Q1 - 3:04	CLE	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 12.9%	17 87.1%
Q1 - 3:27	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 13.7%	16 86.3%
Q1 - 3:29	CHA	MISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 14.1%	16 85.9%
Q1 - 3:45	CLE	Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)	16 14.9%	16 85.1%
Q1 - 4:08	CHA	Graham 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)	16 15.6%	14 84.4%
Q1 - 4:22	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	14 14.5%	14 85.5%
Q1 - 4:23	CHA	MISS Wallace 3' Layup	14 13.7%	14 86.3%
Q1 - 4:43	CLE	O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	14 14.5%	14 85.5%
Q1 - 5:15	CHA	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)	14 15.6%	12 84.4%
Q1 - 5:29	CLE	Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS)	12 14.6%	12 85.4%
Q1 - 5:34	CHA	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	12 15.6%	10 84.4%
Q1 - 5:48	CLE	Parker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)	12 16.9%	10 83.1%
Q1 - 6:09	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	12 17.5%	8 82.5%
Q1 - 6:09	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	12 18.8%	8 81.2%
Q1 - 6:09	CHA	MISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 17.9%	8 82.1%
Q1 - 6:11	CHA	Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	12 18.8%	8 81.2%
Q1 - 6:14	CHA	O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)	12 17.9%	8 82.1%
Q1 - 6:37	CLE	Williams 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)	12 18.9%	8 81.1%
Q1 - 6:56	CHA	Wallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)	12 20.2%	6 79.8%
Q1 - 7:11	CLE	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	10 18.4%	6 81.6%
Q1 - 7:30	CHA	Felton 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	10 17.1%	6 82.9%
Q1 - 7:41	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	8 16.0%	6 84.0%
Q1 - 7:51	CHA	Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	8 14.8%	6 85.2%
Q1 - 7:51	CHA	Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	7 14.6%	6 85.4%
Q1 - 8:04	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	6 13.5%	6 86.5%
Q1 - 8:16	CHA	Varejao STEAL (1 STL)	6 12.6%	6 87.4%
Q1 - 8:29	CLE	O'Neal 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	6 13.6%	6 86.4%
Q1 - 8:55	CHA	Graham 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 14.6%	4 85.4%
Q1 - 9:07	CLE	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 13.4%	4 86.6%
Q1 - 9:13	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 12.5%	4 87.5%
Q1 - 9:14	CHA	MISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot	4 12.8%	4 87.2%
Q1 - 9:32	CLE	O'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS)	4 13.4%	4 86.6%
Q1 - 9:57	CHA	Felton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 14.4%	2 85.6%
Q1 - 10:17	CLE	Parker 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	2 13.3%	2 86.7%
Q1 - 10:36	CHA	Felton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 14.1%	0 85.9%
Q1 - 10:51	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 15.2%	0 84.8%
Q1 - 10:52	CLE	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	2 14.8%	0 85.2%
Q1 - 11:12	CHA	Felton 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 13.6%	0 86.4%
Q1 - 11:25	CLE	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 12.9%	0 87.1%
Q1 - 11:30	CLE	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 12.1%	0 87.9%
Q1 - 11:31	CHA	MISS Chandler 12' Jump Shot	0 12.4%	0 87.6%
Q1 - 11:45	CHA	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 12.9%	0 87.1%
Q1 - 11:46	CLE	MISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot	0 12.6%	0 87.4%
Q1 - 12:00	CLE	Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Chandler: Tip to Williams	0 12.1%	0 87.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

CLE

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

45%

CLE

63%

Midrange

CHA

40%

CLE

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

9.0

46%

69%

CLE

13.5

56%

84%

Free Throws

CHA

75%

CLE

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Radmanovic	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Wallace	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Augustin	11	69%	5.5 / 8
R. Felton	10	42%	5.0 / 12
T. Chandler	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Henderson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Diaw	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Graham	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Mohammed	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Ajinca	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	24	80%	12.0 / 15
L. James	14	50%	7.0 / 14
A. Parker	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. West	13	81%	6.5 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas	10	100%	5.0 / 5
S. O'Neal	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Varejao	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Hickson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Gibson	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Moon	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+14

-17

CLE

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.00 50.0%

CLE

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.0 111.5	CHA 97.5 +12.2 CLE 109.8
Pace	89.9 91.2	CHA 83.8 +4.4 CLE 79.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 16.5	CHA 17.2 +1.0 CLE 18.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.0% 53.2%	CHA 47.1% CLE 65.3% +18.2%
TO %	16.4% 14.2%	CHA 19.8% +2.0% CLE 21.8%
ORB %	26.6% 25.1%	CHA 27.0% +9.1% CLE 17.9%
FTrt	34.6 34.1	CHA 29.4 +6.8 CLE 22.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.0% 59.2%	CHA 65.5% +4.4% CLE 61.1%
STL %	8.5% 7.5%	CHA 7.4% CLE 11.0% +3.6%
BLK %	9.2% 8.3%	CHA 4.3% CLE 16.4% +12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.2% 55.3%	CHA 50.0% CLE 60.0% +10.0%
Rim FG%	57.1% 64.4%	CHA 45.0% CLE 63.2% +18.2%
Mid FG%	37.6% 40.0%	CHA 40.0% CLE 55.6% +15.6%
3P %	34.6% 38.1%	CHA 46.2% CLE 56.3% +10.1%
FT %	75.1% 72.1%	CHA 75.0% +10.7% CLE 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	42.9% 36.9%	CHA 29.4% CLE 30.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	36.0% 38.4%	CHA 51.5% CLE 43.5% +7.9%
3P Att. %	21.1% 24.8%	CHA 19.1% CLE 25.8% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.

Game Totals	CHA	CLE
Possessions	81	82
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	79	90
Rebounds	33	32
Assists	19	22
Steals	6	9
Blocks	2	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (0)	27 (1)
Field Goals	29-68	36-62
At-the-Rim FG	9-20	12-19
Midrange FG	14-35	15-27
2-Point FG	23-55	27-46
3-Point FG	6-13	9-16
Free Throws	15-20	9-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 27	35.6	11	42%	9	0	2	0	3	2	2	7	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 25	34.0	10	42%	0	3	1	0	8	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 28	33.6	7	58%	3	9	1	1	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 27	31.9	8	57%	7	0	0	0	1	2	1	6	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Stephen Graham G · 6'6" 215 · 27	22.3	6	60%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 22	28.8	11	69%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 22	17.6	8	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 29	17.4	12	60%	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 32	14.8	4	29%	7	0	0	0	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 28	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21	1.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Flip Murray #22 · G · 6'3" 200 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	50%	33	19	6	2	17	0	10	23	15-20	75%	23-55	42%	6-13	46%

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23 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 27	35.6	11	42%	9	0	2	0	3	2	2	7	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 25	34.0	10	42%	0	3	1	0	8	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 28	33.6	7	58%	3	9	1	1	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 27	31.9	8	57%	7	0	0	0	1	2	1	6	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Stephen Graham G · 6'6" 215 · 27	22.3	6	60%	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 22	28.8	11	69%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 22	17.6	8	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Vladimir Radmanovic F · 6'10" 235 · 29	17.4	12	60%	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 32	14.8	4	29%	7	0	0	0	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 28	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alexis Ajinca C · 7'2" 248 · 21	1.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Flip Murray #22 · G · 6'3" 200 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	50%	33	19	6	2	17	0	10	23	15-20	75%	23-55	42%	6-13	46%

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1 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 25	37.2	14	50%	7	9	0	0	4	1	1	6	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 27	35.0	24	80%	0	3	1	1	5	1	0	0	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	5-8	63%
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 27	33.3	6	75%	7	1	3	1	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Parker G · 6'6" 210 · 34	30.6	13	81%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Shaquille O'Neal C · 7'1" 325 · 38	26.7	8	44%	6	3	1	2	0	4	3	3	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Delonte West G · 6'3" 180 · 26	24.2	13	81%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C · 7'3" 260 · 34	20.0	10	100%	3	1	0	5	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 24	14.8	0	0%	4	0	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21	13.7	2	50%	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jamario Moon F · 6'8" 205 · 29	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jawad Williams F · 6'9" 225 · 27	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darnell Jackson F · 6'9" 253 · 24	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danny Green #14 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Coby Karl #5 · G · 6'5" 215 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Leon Powe #44 · F · 6'8" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	60%	32	22	9	9	17	0	5	27	9-14	64%	27-46	59%	9-16	56%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE