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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets24%8687
2Celtics76%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
37.0
34.2
22
77%
3
8
2
2
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
7-10
6-12
70%
49%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
36.6
34.9
10
35%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-12
7-14
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
28.9
29.6
5
25%
10
2
1
1
2
4
2
8
1-2
50%
2-9
4-8
22%
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
19.1
26.5
7
58%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
14.8
15.3
3
38%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.4
32.3
22.1
26
82%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
6-10
60%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.8
20.5
20.5
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.1
20.4
18.2
8
33%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
40%
2-7
29%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.9
19.1
16.9
6
60%
4
2
3
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.7
11.4
11.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.8
4.1
0
0-1
40%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
40.6
30.6
17
57%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
49%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
36.9
30.6
27
81%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
7-9
4-7
78%
48%
3-5
60%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
36.0
30.7
6
43%
3
10
3
2
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
34.5
23.3
12
68%
7
2
0
0
1
2
0
7
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
33.2
24.3
14
47%
7
5
0
1
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
7-15
5-10
47%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
18.5
22.5
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.1
17.8
22.0
12
60%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
12.0
18.6
4
52%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
10.4
19.6
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
5.4
0
0-1
41%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.