FinalWin Prob.pScore
1836%92
87
1364%97
95
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
94.692101.1
MIA logo MIA
103.39284.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHISalmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)87
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIMISS Deng Driving Layup87
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIRose Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)87
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)87
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 1:03CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
14.8%
89
85.2%
Q4 - 1:03CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
12.9%
89
87.1%
Q4 - 1:03CHIBulls Rebound85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper85
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 1:23CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
6.3%
89
93.7%
Q4 - 1:23CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 1:23CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 1:24CHIMISS Rose Reverse Layup83
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)83
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 1:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q4 - 1:57CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot83
14.3%
86
85.7%
Q4 - 2:06CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 2:07CHIAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)83
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)83
21.5%
86
78.5%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
26.9%
84
73.1%
Q4 - 2:45CHIMISS Rose Driving Layup83
31.5%
84
68.5%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)83
41.7%
84
58.3%
Q4 - 3:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
49.7%
82
50.3%
Q4 - 3:18CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot83
54.5%
82
45.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)83
58.5%
82
41.5%
Q4 - 3:54CHISalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
48.7%
82
51.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)80
31.1%
82
68.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
48.8%
79
51.2%
Q4 - 4:31CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
52.0%
79
48.0%
Q4 - 4:40CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
59.3%
79
40.7%
Q4 - 4:41CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot80
52.1%
79
47.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T18)80
59.3%
79
40.7%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHEAT Rebound80
47.7%
79
52.3%
Q4 - 5:07CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot80
50.4%
79
49.6%
Q4 - 5:23MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
56.6%
79
43.4%
Q4 - 5:45CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)80
64.4%
77
35.6%
Q4 - 6:04CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
54.4%
77
45.6%
Q4 - 6:05CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot78
48.8%
77
51.2%
Q4 - 6:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
54.5%
77
45.5%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot78
52.0%
77
48.0%
Q4 - 6:38CHISalmons Driving Layup (14 PTS)78
46.5%
77
53.5%
Q4 - 6:47CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
39.5%
77
60.5%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot76
37.2%
77
62.8%
Q4 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound76
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Anthony Reverse Layup76
36.9%
77
63.1%
Q4 - 7:29MIAHEAT Rebound76
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 7:30CHIMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot76
34.2%
77
65.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)76
39.1%
77
60.9%
Q4 - 7:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 7:34CHIMISS Rose 13' Running Jump Shot76
34.2%
77
65.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
39.2%
77
60.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
40.2%
76
59.8%
Q4 - 8:15CHIMiller 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)76
45.1%
75
54.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)74
38.7%
75
61.3%
Q4 - 8:59CHIHinrich Driving Layup (7 PTS)74
32.9%
75
67.1%
Q4 - 9:13MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)72
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q4 - 9:32CHINoah Dunk (8 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)72
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q4 - 9:35CHIBulls Rebound70
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q4 - 9:36CHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)70
24.9%
73
75.1%
Q4 - 9:52MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
33.3%
71
66.7%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Beasley Layup70
37.0%
71
63.0%
Q4 - 9:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
33.3%
71
66.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot70
37.0%
71
63.0%
Q4 - 10:10CHINoah 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)70
33.1%
71
66.9%
Q4 - 10:23MIAArroyo 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q4 - 10:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q4 - 10:39CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot70
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)70
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHEAT Rebound70
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot70
47.8%
69
52.2%
Q4 - 11:22CHISalmons Foul Turnover (P3.T10)70
43.4%
69
56.6%
Q4 - 11:30CHIBulls Rebound70
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q4 - 11:31CHIWright BLOCK (2 BLK)70
44.9%
69
55.1%
Q4 - 11:34MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)70
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI70
43.4%
69
56.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound70
48.6%
69
51.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Hinrich 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
44.9%
69
55.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)70
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0CHIDeng Layup (22 PTS)70
43.2%
69
56.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
34.8%
69
65.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
43.2%
67
56.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Gibson Tip Shot68
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup68
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
47.8%
67
52.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
48.8%
66
51.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
47.4%
66
52.6%
Q3 - 1:09CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
48.7%
66
51.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
51.9%
66
48.1%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 1:42CHIMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot68
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q3 - 1:52CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
56.9%
65
43.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Haslem Driving Layup68
55.5%
65
44.5%
Q3 - 2:17CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
50.8%
65
49.1%
Q3 - 2:17CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q3 - 2:21CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
46.2%
65
53.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper66
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
41.6%
65
58.4%
Q3 - 2:35CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 266
42.2%
65
57.8%
Q3 - 2:35CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 266
45.3%
65
54.7%
Q3 - 2:38MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)66
46.2%
65
53.8%
Q3 - 2:43CHIChalmers STEAL (4 STL)66
41.6%
65
58.4%
Q3 - 2:54MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)66
46.2%
65
53.8%
Q3 - 3:10CHIDeng 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)66
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIARichardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)64
36.9%
65
63.1%
Q3 - 3:59CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)64
45.4%
62
54.6%
Q3 - 4:05CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot62
39.7%
62
60.3%
Q3 - 4:17CHIChalmers STEAL (3 STL)62
36.3%
62
63.7%
Q3 - 4:34CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot62
39.7%
62
60.3%
Q3 - 4:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
36.3%
62
63.7%
Q3 - 4:48CHIMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot62
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 5:06MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)62
40.3%
62
59.7%
Q3 - 5:18CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)62
43.9%
60
56.1%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)62
48.6%
60
51.4%
Q3 - 5:49CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)62
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)60
52.9%
57
47.1%
Q3 - 6:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 6:12CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot60
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q3 - 6:40CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
51.9%
57
48.1%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 7:02CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q3 - 7:02CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
45.6%
57
54.4%
Q3 - 7:15CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
41.7%
57
58.3%
Q3 - 7:36CHINoah Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)58
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q3 - 7:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
35.6%
57
64.4%
Q3 - 7:42CHIMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)56
35.6%
57
64.4%
Q3 - 8:19CHIRose 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)56
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)54
38.8%
54
61.2%
Q3 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
35.0%
54
65.0%
Q3 - 8:44CHIMISS Rose 9' Fadeaway Jumper54
36.2%
54
63.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
38.5%
54
61.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 9:01CHISalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 9:01CHISalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)52
38.5%
52
61.5%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)52
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)52
40.0%
50
60.0%
Q3 - 9:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
45.6%
49
54.4%
Q3 - 9:26CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot52
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q3 - 9:30CHIBulls Rebound52
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 9:31CHIBeasley BLOCK (2 BLK)52
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q3 - 9:36CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot52
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
45.6%
49
54.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup52
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
45.7%
49
54.3%
Q3 - 9:55CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot52
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q3 - 10:05CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 10:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 10:18CHIMISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot52
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q3 - 10:30CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot52
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 10:58CHIThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)52
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 11:10CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
40.2%
49
59.8%
Q3 - 11:38CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)50
37.8%
49
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
34.7%
49
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 39' 3PT Jump Shot48
33.7%
49
66.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHIMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)48
32.1%
49
67.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)45
25.9%
49
74.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHIHinrich Driving Layup (3 PTS)45
29.2%
47
70.8%
Q2 - 1:05CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
24.0%
47
76.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup43
28.0%
46
72.0%
Q2 - 1:31CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)43
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 1:44MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 2:06CHIMiller Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)41
26.2%
44
73.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)39
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 2:26CHIChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)39
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 2:39MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)39
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
26.2%
42
73.8%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot39
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 3:03CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)39
29.1%
42
70.9%
Q2 - 3:36CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 3:36CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 238
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 3:48MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)38
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 4:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 4:01CHIBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)38
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 4:28MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 4:32CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)38
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 4:40MIAHaslem Tip Shot (9 PTS)38
36.9%
38
63.1%
Q2 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot38
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 4:59CHIMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 5:11CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Beasley 15' Fadeaway Jumper38
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 5:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 5:31CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot38
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 5:38CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot38
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 5:50CHIMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot38
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
42.3%
36
57.7%
Q2 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 6:17CHIMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
45.7%
34
54.3%
Q2 - 6:22CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 6:23CHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)38
45.7%
34
54.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)38
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 7:03CHIRose Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 7:10CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot36
40.8%
34
59.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 7:22CHIWright BLOCK (1 BLK)36
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)36
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q2 - 7:57CHIGibson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
41.2%
32
58.8%
Q2 - 8:26CHIGibson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)34
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
41.2%
30
58.8%
Q2 - 8:54CHIMiller 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q2 - 9:06MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)30
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 9:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q2 - 9:16CHIMISS Hinrich 12' Jump Shot30
41.4%
27
58.6%
Q2 - 9:30MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
43.3%
27
56.7%
Q2 - 9:41CHIGibson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q2 - 9:53MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)30
43.3%
27
56.7%
Q2 - 10:12CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 10:12CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 229
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q2 - 10:20CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 229
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 10:21MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 10:40CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 10:45CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot27
42.3%
24
57.7%
Q2 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q2 - 11:08CHIMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q2 - 11:26CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot27
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
40.2%
24
59.8%
Q2 - 11:41CHIMISS Miller 15' Fadeaway Jumper27
41.0%
24
59.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI27
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound27
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot27
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)27
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHISalmons Driving Dunk (10 PTS)27
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 1:00CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q1 - 1:13MIAHaslem 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 1:51CHIDeng Layup (11 PTS)25
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 1:52CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 1:53CHIMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot23
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 2:01CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot23
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 2:20CHISalmons 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)23
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWade Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)21
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 2:37CHIRichardson STEAL (2 STL)21
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 2:50CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 3:11CHIDeng 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAHaslem 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 3:49CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 4:05MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
38.6%
14
61.4%
Q1 - 4:31CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 5:02CHIMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 5:09CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
36.5%
13
63.5%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot14
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 5:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 5:23CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot14
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)14
36.5%
13
63.5%
Q1 - 6:03CHINoah Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 6:04CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 6:05CHIMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot12
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 6:43CHINoah 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)12
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIABeasley 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 7:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 7:26CHISalmons 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 7:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:54CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot8
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 8:07CHIBulls Rebound8
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:07CHIMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot8
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 8:18CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup8
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:32CHIRose 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 8:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot6
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 8:49CHIRichardson STEAL (1 STL)6
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)6
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 9:18CHIMISS Noah 8' Turnaround Jump Shot6
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 9:32CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 9:54CHISalmons 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:29CHIDeng Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)4
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 10:51CHISalmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 10:53CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 10:54CHIMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 10:59MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 11:19CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:22CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:23CHIMISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:24CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:25CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot0
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:44CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Noah: Tip to Chalmers0
31.7%
0
68.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.89 44.4%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
16
27
59%
MIA
10
18
56%
Midrange
CHI
18
49
37%
MIA
21
39
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
CHI
13
17
76%
MIA
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2657%13.0 / 23
J. Salmons1757%8.5 / 15
B. Miller1150%5.5 / 11
J. Noah1063%5.0 / 8
D. Rose825%4.0 / 16
K. Hinrich729%3.5 / 12
T. Thomas440%2.0 / 5
T. Gibson450%2.0 / 4
J. Pargo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2554%12.5 / 23
U. Haslem1973%9.5 / 13
C. Arroyo1275%6.0 / 8
M. Chalmers1179%5.5 / 7
M. Beasley1036%5.0 / 14
J. O'Neal857%4.0 / 7
Q. Richardson650%3.0 / 6
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
79
+19
-13
98
MIA
74
+11
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.89 44.4%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
106.7
CHI 94.6 +8.7
MIA 103.3
Pace
92.9
89.6
CHI 101.1 +16.7
MIA 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
CHI 14.2 +2.8
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
49.6%
CHI 42.0%
MIA 51.4% +9.4%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
CHI 12.0% +6.6%
MIA 18.6%
ORB %
26.5%
26.0%
CHI 28.9% +6.0%
MIA 22.9%
FTrt
28.7
29.6
CHI 19.3
MIA 34.7 +15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
51.9%
CHI 36.1%
MIA 42.9% +6.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
CHI 8.7% +2.2%
MIA 6.5%
BLK %
9.2%
9.4%
CHI 8.8%
MIA 10.5% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.1%
CHI 44.4%
MIA 55.9% +11.5%
Rim FG%
56.0%
62.0%
CHI 59.3% +3.7%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.8%
CHI 36.7%
MIA 53.8% +17.1%
3P %
33.0%
34.6%
CHI 16.7%
MIA 26.7% +10.0%
FT %
75.4%
75.2%
CHI 76.5%
MIA 84.0% +7.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
29.8%
CHI 30.7% +5.7%
MIA 25.0%
Mid Att. %
49.1%
48.3%
CHI 55.7%
MIA 54.2% +1.5%
3P Att. %
15.6%
21.9%
CHI 13.6%
MIA 20.8% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points8795
Rebounds4040
Assists1315
Steals86
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals36-8835-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2710-18
Midrange FG18-4921-39
2-Point FG34-7631-57
3-Point FG2-124-15
Free Throws13-1721-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 210 · 30
36.7
17
57%
4
2
4
0
4
4
2
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 220 · 25
36.1
26
57%
8
1
0
0
1
2
3
5
4-5
80%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 21
35.1
8
25%
5
5
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-2
0%
4-15
27%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 25
30.1
10
63%
7
0
0
1
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
21.1
4
40%
6
1
0
3
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 29
33.4
7
29%
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34
24.6
11
50%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
17.2
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 30
5.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
G · 6'2" 195 · 39
#34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 7'1" 285 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
44%
40
13
8
5
13
0
13
27
13-17
76%
34-76
45%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.