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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers58%9683
25Thunder42%9374
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
38.6
37.1
16
40%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-7
71%
4-12
7-14
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
38.5
20.4
10
39%
5
1
4
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
45%
1-5
20%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.7
30.9
24.3
18
91%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
4-5
80%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.8
28.9
22.3
12
89%
10
1
0
1
1
3
2
8
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
11.9
36.5
6
51%
5
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-5
7-15
40%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.1
31.5
21.9
12
51%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.6
20.0
24.9
4
106%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
4-8
100%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.1
16.7
18.4
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
55%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.6
13.8
27.6
1
13%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
9.2
6.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.2
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
42.5
34.5
19
51%
11
1
1
1
0
3
4
7
6-8
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
40.7
39.8
16
31%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
10-14
71%
3-16
7-15
19%
49%
0-4
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
32.0
32.8
23
70%
4
2
2
1
1
9
2
2
7-10
70%
8-11
5-10
73%
43%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
27.7
26.4
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
20.3
24.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
26.3
14.3
4
50%
9
0
0
0
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
17.9
16.9
6
33%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.0
16.7
16.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.8
16.0
12.0
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.1
7.2
0
1-2
46%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.