FinalWin Prob.pScore
562%105
111
2138%101
93
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
105.7105106.7
IND logo IND
89.4104102.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN111
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDRush 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)111
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)110
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMcRoberts 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Head 3 AST)109
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENHead STEAL (2 STL)109
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDPrice 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 2 AST)109
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12DENAllen 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35INDMISS Rush 21' Jump Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27INDHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)107
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27INDHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44INDHibbert 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55DENLawson 2' Layup (2 PTS)107
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16INDHibbert 8' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Price 1 AST)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13DENAllen 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24INDMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40DENCarter 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00INDHibbert 1' Layup (10 PTS)101
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34INDRush 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55DENCarter 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17INDMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:29DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:35DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:36INDMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot95
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:54DENMISS Graham 3' Jump Shot95
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09INDRush Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)95
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 7:24DENGraham 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)95
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 7:40INDRush 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS Nene 2' Layup93
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)93
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 7:54DENMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot93
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 8:06INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 8:06INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 293
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 8:23DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)93
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 8:27DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)91
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 8:29DENHibbert BLOCK (4 BLK)91
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 8:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 8:38INDMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot91
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 8:41INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 8:42INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 8:49INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 8:50DENMISS Graham 5' Jump Shot91
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 9:06INDFord Foul Turnover (P3.T13)91
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 9:13INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 9:14DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 9:39DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Jones Layup91
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 9:57DENAfflalo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)91
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 10:15DENNuggets Rebound89
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 10:15INDMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot89
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 10:41DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 10:41DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 10:50DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot87
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 11:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
96.8%
73
3.2%
Q4 - 11:03DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q4 - 11:20INDJones 4' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)85
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q4 - 11:34DENAfflalo 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)85
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q4 - 11:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)83
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q4 - 11:47DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot83
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND83
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENJones STEAL (1 STL)83
94.7%
71
5.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDJones 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDMISS Head 3' Layup83
96.9%
69
3.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENBillups 14' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)83
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q3 - 1:01INDGranger 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
95.2%
69
4.8%
Q3 - 1:14DENAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)81
96.1%
67
3.9%
Q3 - 1:29DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
95.2%
67
4.8%
Q3 - 1:29INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 279
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q3 - 1:29INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
94.5%
67
5.5%
Q3 - 1:45DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)79
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q3 - 2:13INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Head 1 AST)77
93.7%
66
6.3%
Q3 - 2:19DENWatson STEAL (2 STL)77
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 2:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
96.3%
63
3.7%
Q3 - 2:22DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup77
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q3 - 2:27INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)77
96.3%
63
3.7%
Q3 - 2:29INDPACERS Rebound77
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 2:30INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q3 - 2:42DENAnthony 2' Layup (25 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)77
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 2:48INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)75
94.8%
63
5.2%
Q3 - 3:06INDPACERS Rebound75
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q3 - 3:06DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
93.7%
63
6.3%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
94.6%
62
5.4%
Q3 - 3:31INDJump Ball Watson vs. Martin: Tip to Head75
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q3 - 3:49INDJones 4' Tip Shot (4 PTS)75
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 3:50INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
96.7%
59
3.3%
Q3 - 3:52INDMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot75
97.1%
59
2.9%
Q3 - 4:03DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
96.3%
59
3.7%
Q3 - 4:03DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
96.3%
59
3.7%
Q3 - 4:13INDHead 1' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)73
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 4:24INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
96.3%
57
3.7%
Q3 - 4:24INDMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot73
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 4:28INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 4:29INDMISS McRoberts 2' Layup73
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 4:32INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 4:33INDMISS Head 18' Jump Shot73
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 4:45DENAnthony 1' Layup (23 PTS)73
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 4:48INDHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)71
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 5:04DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)71
94.4%
57
5.6%
Q3 - 5:22INDMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)68
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 5:29DENMartin Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T14)68
91.0%
57
9.0%
Q3 - 5:47INDHibbert 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)68
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 5:56DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T13)68
93.5%
55
6.5%
Q3 - 6:03INDJones 13' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)68
94.1%
55
5.9%
Q3 - 6:18DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
94.9%
53
5.1%
Q3 - 6:18DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
94.7%
53
5.3%
Q3 - 6:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q3 - 6:29INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 266
94.0%
53
6.0%
Q3 - 6:29INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q3 - 6:43DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)66
94.0%
52
6.0%
Q3 - 6:43DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
93.9%
52
6.1%
Q3 - 6:53INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
93.2%
52
6.8%
Q3 - 7:05DENAnthony 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 7:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
90.0%
52
10.0%
Q3 - 7:08DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot62
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 7:27INDGranger 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
90.1%
52
9.9%
Q3 - 7:37DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)62
91.3%
50
8.7%
Q3 - 7:42DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
88.6%
50
11.4%
Q3 - 7:43DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot59
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q3 - 8:00INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)59
88.6%
50
11.4%
Q3 - 8:11INDPACERS Rebound59
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q3 - 8:11DENMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q3 - 8:27INDJones 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)59
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q3 - 8:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 8:34DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot59
90.1%
48
9.9%
Q3 - 8:57INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 8:57INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
91.2%
47
8.8%
Q3 - 9:01DENFord STEAL (2 STL)59
91.9%
46
8.1%
Q3 - 9:17INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
93.0%
46
7.0%
Q3 - 9:17INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
93.2%
45
6.8%
Q3 - 9:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
93.9%
44
6.1%
Q3 - 9:19INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot59
94.4%
44
5.6%
Q3 - 9:35DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
93.9%
44
6.1%
Q3 - 9:35DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
93.7%
44
6.3%
Q3 - 9:40DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
93.0%
44
7.0%
Q3 - 9:40INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 257
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q3 - 9:40INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
92.1%
44
7.9%
Q3 - 9:44INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
93.0%
43
7.0%
Q3 - 9:46DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot57
93.3%
43
6.7%
Q3 - 9:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
93.9%
43
6.1%
Q3 - 9:59DENHibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)57
93.3%
43
6.7%
Q3 - 10:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
93.5%
43
6.5%
Q3 - 10:03DENMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot57
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q3 - 10:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 10:20INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
93.3%
43
6.7%
Q3 - 10:28INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
92.6%
43
7.4%
Q3 - 10:30DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot57
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q3 - 10:36INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)57
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 10:45INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
92.6%
43
7.4%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 257
92.8%
43
7.2%
Q3 - 10:45DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
93.3%
43
6.7%
Q3 - 10:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
92.7%
43
7.3%
Q3 - 10:52INDMISS Granger 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup56
92.3%
43
7.7%
Q3 - 10:58INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
91.6%
43
8.4%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 256
91.8%
43
8.2%
Q3 - 10:58DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
92.5%
43
7.5%
Q3 - 11:15INDFord 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)55
91.3%
43
8.7%
Q3 - 11:19INDJump Ball Granger vs. Nene: Tip to Ford55
92.3%
41
7.7%
Q3 - 11:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q3 - 11:22DENMISS Nene Layup55
92.6%
41
7.4%
Q3 - 11:38INDFord 7' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)55
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN55
94.1%
39
5.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound55
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 30' 3PT Jump Shot55
94.3%
39
5.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDJones 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)55
94.4%
39
5.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENAnthony 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
94.5%
36
5.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)53
95.2%
35
4.8%
Q2 - 1:11INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
93.5%
35
6.5%
Q2 - 1:11INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 250
93.6%
34
6.4%
Q2 - 1:11INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
93.7%
34
6.3%
Q2 - 1:11DENFord BLOCK (1 BLK)50
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 1:25INDGranger 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)50
94.2%
34
5.8%
Q2 - 1:34DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
95.1%
32
4.9%
Q2 - 1:34DENMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 249
95.0%
32
5.0%
Q2 - 1:39DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
94.9%
32
5.1%
Q2 - 1:40INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
94.8%
32
5.2%
Q2 - 2:02DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
94.0%
32
6.0%
Q2 - 2:02DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 248
93.9%
32
6.1%
Q2 - 2:19INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)48
94.1%
32
5.9%
Q2 - 2:37DENGranger STEAL (2 STL)48
95.3%
29
4.7%
Q2 - 3:06INDJones 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
95.8%
29
4.2%
Q2 - 3:32DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)48
96.2%
27
3.8%
Q2 - 3:39DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
95.2%
27
4.8%
Q2 - 3:40INDMISS Jones 1' Layup45
95.0%
27
5.0%
Q2 - 3:46DENNene 1' Layup (11 PTS)45
94.5%
27
5.5%
Q2 - 3:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 3:50DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot43
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 4:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 4:03INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
93.3%
27
6.7%
Q2 - 4:23INDHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
92.8%
27
7.2%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot43
93.0%
27
7.0%
Q2 - 4:42INDJones 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 4:46DENHibbert STEAL (1 STL)43
94.3%
25
5.7%
Q2 - 4:54INDHead 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
94.9%
25
5.1%
Q2 - 5:21DENGraham Reverse Layup (4 PTS)43
95.3%
23
4.7%
Q2 - 5:33INDJones Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)41
94.7%
23
5.3%
Q2 - 5:43DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
95.3%
21
4.7%
Q2 - 5:43DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
95.2%
21
4.8%
Q2 - 5:46INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)39
94.7%
21
5.3%
Q2 - 5:55DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
94.1%
21
5.9%
Q2 - 6:01DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
94.4%
21
5.6%
Q2 - 6:02INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
94.1%
21
5.9%
Q2 - 6:16DENHead STEAL (1 STL)39
93.6%
21
6.4%
Q2 - 6:26INDHead 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)39
94.4%
21
5.6%
Q2 - 6:39DENAfflalo 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
94.9%
19
5.1%
Q2 - 6:50DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
94.4%
19
5.6%
Q2 - 6:52INDMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot37
94.2%
19
5.8%
Q2 - 7:08DENGranger STEAL (1 STL)37
93.5%
19
6.5%
Q2 - 7:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
94.1%
19
5.9%
Q2 - 7:17INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot37
93.9%
19
6.1%
Q2 - 7:28DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)37
93.5%
19
6.5%
Q2 - 7:34DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
92.0%
19
8.0%
Q2 - 7:36DENHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)34
91.3%
19
8.7%
Q2 - 7:47DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
92.0%
19
8.0%
Q2 - 7:48INDMISS Head 14' Jump Shot34
91.7%
19
8.3%
Q2 - 8:12DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
90.6%
19
9.4%
Q2 - 8:12DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
90.4%
19
9.6%
Q2 - 8:21DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
89.6%
19
10.4%
Q2 - 8:22INDMISS Watson 2' Layup32
89.3%
19
10.7%
Q2 - 8:26INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
88.5%
19
11.5%
Q2 - 8:27DENWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
88.9%
19
11.1%
Q2 - 8:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
89.6%
19
10.4%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Andersen 14' Jump Shot32
88.9%
19
11.1%
Q2 - 8:50INDHibbert 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)32
89.7%
19
10.3%
Q2 - 8:59INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
90.6%
17
9.4%
Q2 - 9:00DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot32
90.9%
17
9.1%
Q2 - 9:18INDWatson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
91.1%
17
8.9%
Q2 - 9:25INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
91.9%
15
8.1%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Lawson 22' Jump Shot32
92.2%
15
7.8%
Q2 - 9:50INDHibbert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)32
92.7%
15
7.3%
Q2 - 10:10DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)32
91.6%
15
8.4%
Q2 - 10:20DENNuggets Rebound32
92.4%
15
7.6%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
92.2%
15
7.8%
Q2 - 10:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
91.6%
15
8.4%
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot32
91.9%
15
8.1%
Q2 - 10:43INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
92.4%
15
7.6%
Q2 - 10:43INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
92.6%
14
7.4%
Q2 - 10:56DENAndersen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)32
93.1%
13
6.9%
Q2 - 11:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
92.1%
13
7.9%
Q2 - 11:20INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
91.8%
13
8.2%
Q2 - 11:28INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q2 - 11:30DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
91.5%
13
8.5%
Q2 - 11:35DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
92.1%
13
7.9%
Q2 - 11:36INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot30
91.8%
13
8.2%
Q2 - 11:43INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q2 - 11:44INDMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot30
91.8%
13
8.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND30
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
91.3%
13
8.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Andersen 1' Putback Dunk30
91.5%
13
8.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
92.1%
13
7.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot30
91.0%
13
9.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDJones 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)30
91.4%
13
8.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)30
92.4%
11
7.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
91.5%
11
8.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDMISS Watson 14' Jump Shot28
91.3%
11
8.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
90.9%
11
9.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
89.8%
11
10.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)26
89.3%
11
10.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
89.8%
11
10.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
89.6%
11
10.4%
Q1 - 1:12DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
88.7%
11
11.3%
Q1 - 1:12DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
88.5%
11
11.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
87.4%
11
12.6%
Q1 - 1:15INDMISS Jones 1' Layup24
87.2%
11
12.8%
Q1 - 1:30DENBillups 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)24
86.7%
11
13.3%
Q1 - 1:36DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.9%
11
16.1%
Q1 - 1:37INDMISS Granger 28' 3PT Jump Shot21
83.6%
11
16.4%
Q1 - 1:55INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.0%
11
17.0%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Martin 1' Putback Dunk21
83.3%
11
16.7%
Q1 - 1:57DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
83.9%
11
16.1%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Afflalo 6' Jump Shot21
83.3%
11
16.7%
Q1 - 2:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.8%
11
16.2%
Q1 - 2:19INDMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot21
83.5%
11
16.5%
Q1 - 2:34INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
82.7%
11
17.3%
Q1 - 2:34DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 221
82.8%
11
17.2%
Q1 - 2:34DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
83.9%
11
16.1%
Q1 - 2:44DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
82.5%
11
17.5%
Q1 - 2:44INDMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot20
82.1%
11
17.9%
Q1 - 2:55INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
81.3%
11
18.7%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot20
81.7%
11
18.3%
Q1 - 3:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
82.2%
11
17.8%
Q1 - 3:15DENMurphy STEAL (1 STL)20
81.2%
11
18.8%
Q1 - 3:31DENNuggets Rebound20
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 3:31INDMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot20
82.2%
11
17.8%
Q1 - 3:40DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)20
81.2%
11
18.8%
Q1 - 3:51INDFord 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)17
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 4:03INDPACERS Rebound17
79.4%
9
20.6%
Q1 - 4:03DENGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)17
79.8%
9
20.2%
Q1 - 4:26INDRush 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)17
80.9%
9
19.1%
Q1 - 4:32INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
82.2%
7
17.8%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 117
82.4%
7
17.6%
Q1 - 4:50INDJones Foul Turnover (P1.T3)15
80.9%
7
19.1%
Q1 - 5:04DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
78.7%
7
21.3%
Q1 - 5:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
80.3%
7
19.7%
Q1 - 5:09INDMISS Rush 10' Jump Shot15
79.8%
7
20.2%
Q1 - 5:32DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
78.8%
7
21.2%
Q1 - 5:32DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 214
78.4%
7
21.6%
Q1 - 5:37INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
78.9%
7
21.1%
Q1 - 5:52DENNene 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
77.3%
7
22.7%
Q1 - 6:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
75.9%
7
24.1%
Q1 - 6:07INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 212
76.0%
6
24.0%
Q1 - 6:18DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)12
75.8%
6
24.2%
Q1 - 6:30DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
74.3%
6
25.7%
Q1 - 6:31INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot10
73.7%
6
26.3%
Q1 - 6:45DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)10
72.5%
6
27.5%
Q1 - 6:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 6:48DENRush BLOCK (2 BLK)7
67.8%
6
32.2%
Q1 - 6:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 6:59INDMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot7
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 7:06DENBillups 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 7:15INDGranger 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 7:27DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 7:27DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 24
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 7:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
67.5%
4
32.5%
Q1 - 7:39INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot4
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 7:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 7:40INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 7:50INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 7:51DENHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)4
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 8:14INDFord 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)4
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 8:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 8:24DENMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot4
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 8:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 8:37INDMISS Ford 2' Finger Roll Layup4
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 8:38INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
69.5%
2
30.5%
Q1 - 8:39INDMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot4
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 8:44INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.4%
2
30.6%
Q1 - 8:45DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot4
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 8:56DENNuggets Rebound4
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 8:57INDMISS Murphy 1' Layup4
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 9:04DENFord STEAL (1 STL)4
69.9%
2
30.1%
Q1 - 9:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 9:11INDMISS Murphy Tip Shot4
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 9:12INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
69.9%
2
30.1%
Q1 - 9:13INDMISS Granger 3' Jump Shot4
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 9:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
69.9%
2
30.1%
Q1 - 9:31DENRush BLOCK (1 BLK)4
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 9:46INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
71.5%
2
28.5%
Q1 - 9:57DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
69.9%
2
30.1%
Q1 - 10:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 10:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
69.6%
2
30.4%
Q1 - 10:21DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:34DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:35INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot4
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 10:52DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
69.6%
2
30.4%
Q1 - 11:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 11:02INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
67.6%
2
32.4%
Q1 - 11:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 11:10DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot2
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 11:28INDHibbert 10' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)2
68.0%
2
32.0%
Q1 - 11:48DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 11:48DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Nene: Tip to Martin0
68.0%
0
32.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.4%
IND
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
11
27
41%
IND
19
35
54%
Midrange
DEN
16
40
40%
IND
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
IND
3
4.5
22
14%
20%
Free Throws
DEN
33
41
80%
IND
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2552%12.5 / 24
C. Billups2467%12.0 / 18
Nene1653%8.0 / 15
A. Afflalo1568%7.5 / 11
J. Graham964%4.5 / 7
C. Andersen650%3.0 / 6
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
K. Martin429%2.0 / 7
T. Lawson450%2.0 / 4
M. Allen450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Jones2056%10.0 / 18
D. Granger1847%9.0 / 19
R. Hibbert1458%7.0 / 12
T. Ford1365%6.5 / 10
B. Rush833%4.0 / 12
L. Head844%4.0 / 9
S. Jones528%2.5 / 9
A. Price375%1.5 / 2
E. Watson225%1.0 / 4
J. McRoberts225%1.0 / 4
T. Murphy0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+17
-18
104
IND
90
+14
-14
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.07 53.4%
IND
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
103.8
DEN 105.7
IND 89.4 +16.3
Pace
94.7
97.0
DEN 106.7 +4.3
IND 102.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.5
DEN 13.5 +0.6
IND 14.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
49.1%
DEN 47.6% +6.4%
IND 41.2%
TO %
14.2%
14.7%
DEN 15.2%
IND 12.1% +3.1%
ORB %
26.1%
21.6%
DEN 34.0% +9.5%
IND 24.5%
FTrt
37.6
29.6
DEN 50.0 +23.6
IND 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
57.3%
DEN 51.4% +15.3%
IND 36.1%
STL %
8.7%
7.4%
DEN 7.6%
IND 11.5% +3.9%
BLK %
7.9%
8.0%
DEN 10.1%
IND 14.9% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.2%
DEN 53.4% +9.1%
IND 44.3%
Rim FG%
61.0%
57.4%
DEN 40.7%
IND 54.3% +13.6%
Mid FG%
39.6%
39.8%
DEN 40.0%
IND 41.2% +1.2%
3P %
35.9%
34.8%
DEN 53.3% +39.7%
IND 13.6%
FT %
77.2%
77.5%
DEN 80.5% +5.5%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
33.3%
DEN 32.9%
IND 38.5% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
38.9%
DEN 48.8%
IND 37.4% +11.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
27.8%
DEN 18.3%
IND 24.2% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions105104
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points11193
Rebounds5644
Assists1813
Steals812
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (4)31 (3)
Field Goals35-8236-91
At-the-Rim FG11-2719-35
Midrange FG16-4014-34
2-Point FG27-6733-69
3-Point FG8-153-22
Free Throws33-4118-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
36.0
16
53%
13
2
0
0
4
2
6
7
8-11
73%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
31.1
4
33%
5
5
1
2
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
30.5
24
67%
4
2
1
0
2
3
0
4
5-6
83%
2-8
25%
5-7
71%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
29.1
25
52%
5
3
2
1
2
0
3
2
11-14
79%
4-13
31%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
29.1
4
29%
7
3
2
2
4
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
22.9
15
68%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
18.4
6
50%
11
0
1
2
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
17.0
9
64%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
13.4
4
50%
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
8.4
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
#27 · C · 7'0" 247 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
56
18
8
7
18
0
16
40
33-41
80%
27-67
40%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.