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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics68%99105
1676ers32%9374
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
30.9
34.5
5
30%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
30.7
33.2
21
71%
8
4
2
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
48%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
27.9
32.8
11
74%
2
5
4
2
0
3
2
0
1-1
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
23.3
27.6
3
17%
6
2
0
1
0
5
0
6
1-4
25%
1-7
6-12
14%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
20.1
28.3
3
39%
6
2
0
0
2
3
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
57%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
27.7
20.9
6
60%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.1
23.9
20.1
20
100%
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
6-8
75%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
23.1
15.8
11
62%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
14.6
15.9
12
120%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
4-5
80%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
6.8
6.0
6
150%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
2-2
100%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
5.6
2.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
5.5
5.4
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
37.1
36.4
11
31%
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
52%
0-4
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
35.8
38.1
17
54%
1
3
3
2
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
7-12
5-10
58%
50%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.0
31.4
33.5
7
32%
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
0-4
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.7
27.6
27.0
6
39%
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
2-6
5-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
24.1
23.1
8
68%
8
0
0
0
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
23.9
21.6
6
27%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
15.1
5.9
2
26%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.4
12.9
5.8
5
125%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
12.2
9.7
7
47%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
11.1
20.7
4
45%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
8.9
7.8
1
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
10.1
0
0-1
41%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.