FinalWin Prob.pScore
1241%103
104
1459%106
96
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
113.09293.3
MIA logo MIA
102.19492.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)102
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHXMISS Hill 12' Jump Bank Shot102
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)102
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2102
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
98.1%
96
1.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
98.5%
95
1.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot102
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 1:21MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)102
98.6%
95
1.4%
Q4 - 1:33PHXSuns Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)102
98.8%
93
1.2%
Q4 - 1:54PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
98.9%
93
1.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)102
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 2:13PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)102
98.4%
93
1.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
96.5%
93
3.5%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)99
96.8%
92
3.2%
Q4 - 2:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)99
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 2:38PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 2:59PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)99
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 3:13PHXStoudemire Dunk (16 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)99
96.5%
91
3.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)97
91.1%
91
8.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)97
95.5%
88
4.5%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot97
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 3:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)97
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)97
95.7%
88
4.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper97
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 4:11PHXRichardson Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)97
95.9%
88
4.1%
Q4 - 4:28PHXSuns Rebound95
94.4%
88
5.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
93.7%
88
6.3%
Q4 - 4:43PHXRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Stoudemire 3 AST)95
91.8%
88
8.2%
Q4 - 5:04MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
80.2%
88
19.8%
Q4 - 5:30PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
85.0%
86
15.0%
Q4 - 5:47PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
74.7%
86
25.3%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
72.6%
86
27.4%
Q4 - 6:12PHXFrye 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)89
64.7%
86
35.3%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)87
58.1%
86
41.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
64.8%
84
35.2%
Q4 - 6:37PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.1%
84
32.9%
Q4 - 6:48PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
71.9%
84
28.1%
Q4 - 6:49PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 287
65.9%
84
34.1%
Q4 - 6:49PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 287
70.4%
84
29.6%
Q4 - 6:49PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
71.9%
84
28.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot87
69.8%
84
30.2%
Q4 - 7:03PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)87
62.8%
84
37.2%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)84
49.8%
84
50.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
42.3%
84
57.7%
Q4 - 7:27PHXMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot84
44.6%
84
55.4%
Q4 - 7:44PHXSuns Rebound84
49.9%
84
50.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
47.6%
84
52.4%
Q4 - 8:05PHXRichardson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)84
42.9%
84
57.1%
Q4 - 8:11PHXDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
30.8%
84
69.2%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Arroyo 23' Jump Shot81
29.2%
84
70.8%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)81
25.7%
84
74.3%
Q4 - 8:43PHXDragic Driving Layup (7 PTS)81
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q4 - 8:56MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
25.5%
83
74.5%
Q4 - 9:10PHXRichardson STEAL (2 STL)79
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 9:30MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)79
37.0%
81
63.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot79
35.4%
81
64.6%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHEAT Rebound79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup79
35.4%
81
64.6%
Q4 - 9:55PHXRichardson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 10:01PHXCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot77
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 10:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
23.0%
81
77.0%
Q4 - 10:31PHXMISS Dudley Layup77
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q4 - 10:46PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
27.3%
81
72.7%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 11:10PHXDudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 11:10PHXDudley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)76
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 11:13PHXCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Jones Layup75
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHEAT Rebound75
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot75
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)75
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q4 - 11:36PHXMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 275
17.4%
81
82.6%
Q4 - 11:36PHXMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 275
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)75
20.1%
81
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX75
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound75
20.1%
81
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Dudley 57' 3PT Jump Shot75
17.9%
81
82.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)75
20.1%
81
79.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0PHXAmundson Dunk (10 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)75
28.7%
78
71.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)73
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Haslem 10' Running Hook Shot73
23.3%
78
76.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0PHXNash 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)73
21.1%
78
78.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot71
16.8%
78
83.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q3 - 1:06PHXMISS Amundson 15' Jump Shot71
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q3 - 1:21MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)71
18.1%
78
81.9%
Q3 - 1:49PHXHill 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
24.9%
75
75.1%
Q3 - 2:05PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
21.8%
75
78.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q3 - 2:23PHXAmundson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)69
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 2:31PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot67
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 2:57PHXNash 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q3 - 3:08PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q3 - 3:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q3 - 3:17PHXMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot65
11.0%
75
89.0%
Q3 - 3:24PHXSuns Rebound65
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q3 - 3:24PHXMISS Nash 17' Turnaround Jump Shot65
11.0%
75
89.0%
Q3 - 3:32PHXNash Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)65
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q3 - 3:42PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 3:54PHXChalmers STEAL (3 STL)64
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 4:07MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 4:19PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q3 - 4:45PHXNash 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)64
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)62
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 5:11PHXNash 12' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)62
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 5:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)60
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q3 - 5:34PHXRichardson Tip Shot (4 PTS)60
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 5:35PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 5:36PHXMISS Hill Driving Layup58
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 5:42PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 6:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 6:04PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
12.5%
68
87.5%
Q3 - 6:16PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
13.9%
68
86.1%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot58
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 6:40PHXAmundson Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)58
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 6:48PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS O'Neal Layup56
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 7:05PHXWade STEAL (2 STL)56
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)56
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q3 - 7:28MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Nash: Tip to O'Neal56
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 7:47MIARichardson 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)56
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q3 - 7:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot56
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot56
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper56
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 8:13PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 256
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q3 - 8:13PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 256
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 8:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 8:31PHXMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot56
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q3 - 8:50PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
21.9%
62
78.1%
Q3 - 8:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
23.9%
61
76.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup56
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 9:10PHXFrye Foul Turnover (P3.T10)56
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q3 - 9:24MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)56
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 9:29PHXO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)56
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)56
33.3%
59
66.7%
Q3 - 9:56PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)56
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q3 - 10:07PHXHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 10:10PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 153
27.7%
57
72.3%
Q3 - 10:14MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)51
24.6%
57
75.4%
Q3 - 10:31PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 10:31PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
21.5%
57
78.5%
Q3 - 10:40MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 10:56PHXNash Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 11:36PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)47
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q3 - 11:41PHXHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q3 - 11:41PHXMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX44
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
20.1%
52
79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Dudley Driving Layup44
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)44
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup44
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot44
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0PHXStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Amundson 1 AST)44
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot42
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 1:20PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 1:34PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 1:58PHXAmundson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)39
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 2:04PHXSuns Rebound39
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q2 - 2:05PHXRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)39
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 2:34PHXStoudemire 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAWade Dunk (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)37
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 2:58PHXMISS Nash 17' Fadeaway Jumper37
14.3%
48
85.7%
Q2 - 3:07PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 3:27PHXMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 3:45MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 3:58PHXFrye Foul Turnover (P2.T7)37
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 4:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 4:45PHXMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot37
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 4:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 4:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 5:04MIAHEAT Rebound37
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot37
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 5:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 5:19PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 237
29.3%
41
70.7%
Q2 - 5:19PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 5:28PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
28.9%
41
71.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot36
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound36
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 5:49PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAArroyo 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 6:21PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 6:52PHXMISS Dragic 22' Fadeaway Jumper36
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 7:08MIABeasley Dunk (12 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)36
34.3%
39
65.7%
Q2 - 7:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 7:15PHXMISS Frye 22' Jump Shot36
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIABeasley Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)36
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Richardson: Tip to Arroyo36
42.2%
35
57.8%
Q2 - 7:36PHXHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)36
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 7:56MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)36
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 8:18PHXFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)36
47.4%
33
52.6%
Q2 - 8:29PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
42.0%
33
58.0%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot33
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 8:50PHXDudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)33
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 9:00PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot30
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 9:16PHXDragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 9:27MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 9:44PHXAmundson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)27
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q2 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q2 - 10:14PHXMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot25
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:18PHXSuns Rebound25
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q2 - 10:19PHXMISS Frye 10' Turnaround Jump Shot25
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 10:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)25
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q2 - 10:56PHXDudley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)25
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q2 - 11:00PHXMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical25
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q2 - 11:06PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot25
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 11:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot25
38.3%
26
61.7%
Q2 - 11:44PHXDragic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Frye 2 AST)25
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHXMISS Dragic Layup23
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)23
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0PHXAmundson Layup (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)23
39.0%
23
61.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0PHXStoudemire Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)21
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q1 - 1:05PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
36.9%
21
63.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 1:23MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 1:24PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q1 - 1:36PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
31.9%
21
68.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 1:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 1:52PHXMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot17
30.9%
21
69.1%
Q1 - 2:16PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
32.4%
21
67.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot17
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 2:34PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 2:34PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 2:40PHXMISS Amundson 6' Jump Shot15
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)15
28.7%
21
71.3%
Q1 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 3:16PHXMISS Hill 10' Jump Shot15
31.1%
19
68.9%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)15
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 3:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 3:45PHXMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot15
35.2%
17
64.8%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
36.5%
17
63.5%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 4:04PHXRichardson STEAL (1 STL)15
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 4:09PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot15
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:31MIAHEAT Rebound15
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 4:32PHXMISS Frye 19' Jump Shot15
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 4:47MIAChalmers Running Dunk (2 PTS)15
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 4:51PHXChalmers STEAL (1 STL)15
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 5:15PHXStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)15
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 5:25PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup15
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 5:41PHXWade STEAL (1 STL)15
42.6%
13
57.4%
Q1 - 5:45PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot15
44.2%
13
55.8%
Q1 - 6:03PHXFrye Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)15
42.4%
13
57.6%
Q1 - 6:09PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper13
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 6:28PHXStoudemire 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
38.3%
13
61.7%
Q1 - 6:47PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Beasley 6' Running Jump Shot11
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 7:06PHXHill 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 7:12PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot9
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 7:28PHXFrye Putback Dunk (2 PTS)9
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 7:31PHXFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 7:32PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot7
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 7:44MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 8:08PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 8:08PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)6
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 8:23PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot5
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 8:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.3%
11
72.7%
Q1 - 8:39PHXMISS Nash 20' Jump Shot5
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIARichardson Driving Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)5
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 9:06PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 9:06PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 24
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
31.1%
9
68.9%
Q1 - 9:29PHXFrye Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 9:39PHXSuns Rebound4
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
35.9%
6
64.1%
Q1 - 10:05PHXRichardson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 10:20MIABeasley Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 10:32PHXMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 10:44MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
36.9%
3
63.1%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:51PHXMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 11:02MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 11:22PHXNash Layup (2 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)2
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:36PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Chalmers0
38.1%
0
61.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.16 57.8%
MIA
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
17
23
74%
MIA
17
28
61%
Midrange
PHX
13
31
42%
MIA
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
PHX
17
27
63%
MIA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash3094%15.0 / 16
A. Stoudemire1667%8.0 / 12
J. Richardson1454%7.0 / 13
G. Hill1033%5.0 / 15
L. Amundson1071%5.0 / 7
C. Frye941%4.5 / 11
J. Dudley857%4.0 / 7
G. Dragic758%3.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
Q. Richardson1853%9.0 / 17
J. O'Neal1458%7.0 / 12
M. Beasley1250%6.0 / 12
U. Haslem1042%5.0 / 12
D. Wright675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers531%2.5 / 8
C. Arroyo536%2.5 / 7
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
78
+10
-14
88
MIA
85
+16
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.16 57.8%
MIA
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.3
106.7
PHX 113.0 +10.9
MIA 102.1
Pace
95.5
89.6
PHX 93.3 +0.6
MIA 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.5
PHX 15.4 +0.1
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
49.6%
PHX 56.5% +11.5%
MIA 45.0%
TO %
14.8%
13.6%
PHX 14.4%
MIA 9.3% +5.1%
ORB %
27.5%
26.0%
PHX 16.7%
MIA 24.5% +7.8%
FTrt
31.2
29.6
PHX 35.1 +16.2
MIA 18.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
51.9%
PHX 53.8%
MIA 61.1% +7.3%
STL %
6.1%
8.1%
PHX 5.4%
MIA 8.5% +3.1%
BLK %
7.5%
9.4%
PHX 16.7% +13.0%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
52.1%
PHX 57.8% +10.3%
MIA 47.5%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.0%
PHX 73.9% +13.2%
MIA 60.7%
Mid FG%
44.9%
40.8%
PHX 41.9% +15.6%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
41.2%
34.6%
PHX 39.1% +1.6%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
77.0%
75.2%
PHX 63.0%
MIA 88.2% +25.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
29.8%
PHX 29.9%
MIA 31.1% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
41.3%
48.3%
PHX 40.3% +2.0%
MIA 42.2%
3P Att. %
26.1%
21.9%
PHX 29.9% +3.2%
MIA 26.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points10496
Rebounds4342
Assists2122
Steals58
Blocks112
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals39-7736-90
At-the-Rim FG17-2317-28
Midrange FG13-3110-38
2-Point FG30-5427-66
3-Point FG9-239-24
Free Throws17-2715-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 245 · 27
39.2
16
67%
11
3
0
3
3
4
1
10
4-9
44%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 29
36.9
14
54%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 178 · 36
36.8
30
94%
3
8
1
0
5
0
0
3
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 225 · 37
35.4
10
33%
12
2
1
0
1
1
2
10
6-8
75%
2-9
22%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 26
26.5
9
41%
2
2
1
1
3
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 240 · 24
23.7
8
57%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 220 · 27
22.1
10
71%
5
1
0
3
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
11.3
7
58%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 249 · 31
8.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 22
F · 6'7" 238 · 24
F · 6'6" 205 · 26
#10 · G · 6'3" 194 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
43
21
5
11
14
0
6
37
17-27
63%
30-54
56%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.