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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Suns41%103104
14Heat59%10696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
39.2
34.1
16
62%
11
3
0
1
3
3
1
10
4-9
44%
6-9
6-12
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
36.9
22.3
14
52%
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
2-7
29%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.7
36.8
35.0
30
90%
3
8
1
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
4-5
80%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
35.4
31.4
10
34%
12
2
1
1
0
1
2
10
6-8
75%
2-9
6-11
22%
50%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
26.5
30.9
9
41%
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
23.7
18.8
8
55%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
22.1
17.1
10
71%
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
11.3
12.5
7
60%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.9
8.2
2.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
9.6
0
1-2
46%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.5
9.5
0
1-2
44%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.9
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
37.8
24.2
18
53%
10
2
2
1
1
1
6
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
4-9
44%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.8
37.6
35.1
23
50%
9
7
2
2
0
4
2
7
9-11
82%
7-15
8-16
47%
52%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
34.0
31.6
5
31%
0
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
28.9
28.3
14
58%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
23.2
30.1
12
51%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
36.7
31.4
10
42%
13
2
0
1
1
0
2
11
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.9
15.5
10.9
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
13.9
14.2
5
36%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
47%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
6.3
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
6.0
2.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
4.8
0
0-0
46%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.9
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.