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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers70%98101
26Thunder30%9198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.0
48.7
33.7
22
66%
10
3
3
1
0
4
3
7
2-4
50%
10-15
7-12
67%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
46.9
33.1
20
87%
3
6
5
1
0
4
1
2
6-8
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.2
45.7
36.6
31
55%
6
4
3
2
1
7
1
5
12-14
86%
8-19
8-17
42%
49%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.0
43.0
37.3
13
55%
8
2
2
1
0
4
1
7
0-2
0%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.2
34.8
28.8
9
75%
4
2
3
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
12.6
9.7
4
40%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
10.3
12.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
7.8
16.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.7
7.4
10.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
6.1
11.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.8
1.7
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.3
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
45.0
39.4
28
51%
4
5
1
1
0
7
3
1
8-8
100%
10-16
7-16
63%
47%
0-8
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
44.8
37.6
18
65%
5
3
2
1
2
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-7
5-10
43%
47%
3-5
60%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
36.0
26.6
12
67%
4
1
4
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
34.1
32.0
12
45%
6
7
2
1
0
6
1
5
2-3
67%
5-9
5-11
56%
43%
0-3
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
18.1
22.2
6
38%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
34.9
18.9
9
57%
11
0
0
0
3
0
3
8
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
18.9
13.7
4
33%
2
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
17.1
17.3
9
46%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.0
16.2
16.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.1
6.1
0
1-2
46%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
5.1
0
1-2
48%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.