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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz31%9785
6Mavericks69%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.6
43.9
33.7
7
34%
2
3
0
2
0
2
1
1
1-3
33%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
43.1
37.6
22
53%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
8-15
5-11
53%
49%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
38.6
28.0
14
40%
14
5
4
1
2
2
2
12
5-6
83%
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
34.6
37.4
12
61%
5
0
3
1
3
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
24.1
34.5
12
50%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.7
21.8
24.8
5
34%
6
1
0
1
0
4
3
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
14.6
10.7
8
59%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
11.4
7.6
2
25%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
7.8
13.7
3
75%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
0.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.6
7.2
0
0-1
45%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
6.0
0
1-1
41%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.5
39.1
34.1
10
33%
8
2
2
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
5-15
7-12
33%
54%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.4
39.1
38.5
40
69%
11
5
2
1
5
0
2
9
15-16
94%
11-19
8-15
58%
51%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.3
38.3
26.9
4
40%
12
0
0
0
6
1
4
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-4
40%
61%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.6
37.0
35.2
19
80%
5
6
2
2
0
7
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
5-8
63%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.5
7.5
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.1
34.1
33.7
10
36%
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
18.8
20.1
8
42%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
15.7
15.0
5
32%
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
2
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.2
6.4
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
4.1
5.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.1
9.7
0
2-4
47%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.5
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.