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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat41%9793
14Wizards59%10089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.8
42.6
35.9
40
63%
4
5
1
2
2
4
0
4
10-13
77%
12-21
8-15
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
42.6
29.6
19
95%
9
1
0
1
0
3
0
9
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
5-7
71%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
35.7
32.4
5
36%
0
8
2
2
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
32.9
28.2
4
29%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
24.1
26.9
10
50%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
32.0
33.6
13
51%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
3-4
75%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
12.5
13.1
2
100%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
10.5
14.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.9
7.3
13.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
5.0
0
0-0
42%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
3.2
0
0-0
48%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.6
44.9
30.2
13
47%
10
1
1
1
0
5
5
5
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
37.8
34.8
32
48%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
12-15
80%
7-19
5-11
37%
46%
2-8
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.9
35.9
28.5
16
58%
11
1
2
0
2
1
4
7
4-4
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
21.3
21.1
2
33%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.7
19.5
32.0
8
74%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
30.5
27.1
10
39%
7
2
1
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.6
23.1
18.2
2
21%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-3
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.1
18.7
25.0
6
50%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
2-3
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.8
8.3
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
8.7
0
1-1
41%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
6.8
0
1-2
46%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.