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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks56%105113
29Kings44%104105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.4
37.4
38.7
26
55%
8
4
0
1
0
6
2
6
4-4
100%
11-18
6-13
61%
47%
0-4
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.5
33.8
30.2
13
52%
7
2
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
33.5
34.0
11
64%
8
1
1
1
4
1
2
6
5-6
83%
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.4
30.6
28.7
13
72%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-1
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.9
29.0
32.7
14
65%
6
3
0
1
4
0
0
6
2-4
50%
6-9
6-11
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.6
34.0
29.2
26
78%
2
4
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
7-10
3-7
70%
45%
3-5
60%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
14.7
11.5
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
14.5
15.0
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.3
7.1
10.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.4
5.4
9.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.9
3.3
0
0-0
39%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.8
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
40.4
28.7
22
58%
12
5
2
1
1
0
8
4
8-9
89%
7-15
4-8
47%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.8
40.0
40.3
29
59%
11
2
1
1
0
0
2
9
5-6
83%
9-17
5-11
53%
47%
2-5
40%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
38.6
25.6
15
34%
3
4
3
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
7-18
3-7
39%
46%
0-3
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.9
32.3
19.5
14
55%
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
5
3-6
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.5
31.0
31.2
6
33%
7
2
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
24.1
20.6
14
59%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
14.9
21.6
5
43%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
7.6
5.9
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.6
5.8
13.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 32.1
3.4
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.6
1.8
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.4
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.7
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.