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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies37%107105
22Warriors63%112113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
41.6
34.9
12
45%
14
2
3
1
2
0
6
8
2-5
40%
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
38.1
33.3
16
64%
10
3
2
1
1
3
2
8
6-8
75%
5-9
8-16
56%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
36.4
37.2
29
67%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
5-8
63%
9-14
6-13
64%
48%
2-4
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
35.5
37.3
14
45%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
6-6
100%
4-12
6-12
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
29.7
31.5
8
38%
6
6
0
1
0
5
1
5
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.4
27.6
20.7
18
61%
3
7
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-6
33%
8-12
4-9
67%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
12.4
19.9
4
52%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
10.1
7.8
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
4.2
9.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.7
3.9
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Trey Gilder
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.8
0.7
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
7.2
0
1-2
56%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.5
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
46.8
33.1
24
47%
7
12
5
1
0
1
1
6
4-6
67%
10-23
8-16
43%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
37.6
25.7
20
55%
2
6
2
1
1
3
0
2
4-5
80%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
28.4
34.3
7
58%
5
9
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
19.4
25.0
6
100%
8
0
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
15.7
22.4
6
43%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
33.5
23.7
24
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
4-4
100%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
29.9
21.0
20
53%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
9-16
3-7
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
21.5
6.0
2
50%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
7.1
18.9
4
106%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
20.0
0
2-4
51%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
4.9
0
1-1
48%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.