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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls
86
1Cavaliers
85
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
39
33
15
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
5-15
5-12
33%
46%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.9
37
37
14
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
34
19
11
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
5-12
2-4
42%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.1
33
30
14
2
11
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
27
28
7
11
1
1
1
0
0
2
9
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.8
25
31
9
6
4
1
1
0
4
0
6
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.6
22
26
10
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.2
12
15
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.0
11
12
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-4
0%
39%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
5
0
0-1
43%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.9
2
0
0-0
35%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
38
36
25
7
6
1
2
1
3
0
7
6-9
67%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
1-4
25%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.4
35
30
11
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
3-3
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
35
32
12
13
0
1
1
0
1
1
12
2-4
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.9
33
33
11
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
1-7
14%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.7
31
25
14
10
1
0
1
5
3
0
10
0-0
-
7-13
5-8
54%
59%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.3
27
23
2
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.4
21
22
2
8
0
0
0
1
1
6
2
2-4
50%
0-9
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.7
17
24
8
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.2
3
7
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.4
10
0
1-1
54%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
5
0
1-1
48%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.0
3
0
0-1
49%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.