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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards54%10386
23Pacers46%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
36.4
35.0
24
48%
12
0
0
2
0
3
4
8
7-9
78%
7-16
6-12
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.9
35.5
31.1
9
44%
19
0
1
1
4
3
8
11
1-3
33%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.8
35.1
35.4
13
55%
2
5
1
2
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
15.1
4.9
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
11.1
20.9
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.1
34.3
22.7
16
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
2-5
40%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
22.1
8.1
6
31%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-7
1-1
29%
41%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.6
15.6
20.0
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
15.5
28.2
1
9%
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-5
5-11
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
7.9
2.8
2
35%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.8
7.1
10.1
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.3
4.6
5.1
4
67%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.4
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
40.4
31.2
18
60%
5
5
2
1
1
2
1
4
6-9
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.6
40.0
24.1
18
51%
10
4
2
1
0
0
3
7
6-6
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.5
36.3
35.9
22
47%
6
2
4
1
2
2
0
6
5-5
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
3-11
27%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.9
27.9
27.8
12
61%
11
2
0
1
5
4
6
5
2-2
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
14.8
32.2
2
25%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.4
32.0
24.2
7
44%
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
20.1
17.6
0
0%
8
2
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-2
0%
0-4
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.0
13.8
16.8
13
57%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
7-10
70%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
11.4
3.6
6
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
2-4
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.7
3.3
5.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.9
17.3
1
2-4
46%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.7
4.5
0
0-0
46%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.1
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.