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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons22%92103
4Magic78%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
40.9
39.6
19
44%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
9-11
82%
5-15
5-11
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.5
36.8
36.6
20
53%
5
3
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
8-15
6-14
53%
42%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.2
30.4
26.9
28
71%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
10-14
4-8
71%
46%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.7
22.6
19.1
9
69%
6
1
2
0
2
1
2
4
3-8
38%
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
17.1
29.2
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
31.4
27.4
7
60%
1
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
5-11
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.7
21.0
10.6
5
66%
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.4
18.4
8.9
11
79%
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.7
11.9
14.0
2
21%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-4
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
9.5
10.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.2
4.0
0
0-1
42%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.7
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.9
38.1
25.6
22
92%
12
3
0
1
2
1
4
8
8-9
89%
7-8
5-8
88%
59%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
35.2
28.5
18
52%
9
3
1
1
0
4
2
7
9-12
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.7
31.2
28.0
18
57%
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
7-12
3-7
58%
50%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
29.6
34.2
16
79%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
7-7
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
3-6
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
18.7
25.6
11
74%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
30.8
17.6
3
18%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-4
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.5
22.8
22.6
13
63%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
20.5
18.2
7
44%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
13.1
20.6
2
50%
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
16.0
0
2-4
47%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
10.3
0
1-2
49%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
5.7
0
0-1
43%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.