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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Suns18%93110
1Celtics82%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
38.3
25.5
34
82%
10
2
1
1
0
2
1
9
8-11
73%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
6-7
86%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
37.3
25.0
8
51%
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.7
35.6
30.2
16
63%
3
12
0
1
0
6
1
2
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
33.4
34.9
22
70%
7
2
0
1
1
1
0
7
6-6
100%
8-13
7-12
62%
53%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
24.5
27.1
12
58%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
1-1
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
30.7
21.6
10
73%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
18.0
20.1
6
61%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
15.3
18.7
2
25%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
7.0
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.9
7.9
0
0-1
41%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.6
6.3
0
1-1
43%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
6.1
0
1-2
43%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
41.5
35.0
16
45%
4
6
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-6
67%
3-10
5-9
30%
50%
2-5
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
37.8
31.9
14
53%
2
11
3
2
0
1
2
0
0-3
0%
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
34.8
28.6
26
65%
8
4
2
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
13-20
6-12
65%
52%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
31.3
32.4
16
73%
7
4
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
24.7
27.4
12
63%
7
1
0
0
4
2
0
7
4-8
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
58%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.1
24.4
20.5
8
33%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
0-6
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
23.0
21.3
9
60%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
11.8
15.5
2
100%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
10.7
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
0.1
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
5.0
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
4.4
0
0-0
40%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.8
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.