FinalWin Prob.pScore
751%100
88
1249%99
96
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
97.890103.8
MIA logo MIA
105.59180.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENAfflalo Driving Layup (18 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENNuggets Rebound86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENMISS Lawson Layup86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENNuggets Rebound86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Chalmers Layup86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)86
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 1:52DENGraham Driving Layup (4 PTS)86
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 2:11DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 284
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 2:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Haslem Layup84
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot84
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 2:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 184
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#18)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04DENMISS Lawson Layup82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:07DENO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47DENAfflalo Layup (14 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)82
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 3:52DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot80
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 4:13DENBalkman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 4:13DENBalkman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 4:50DENLawson 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)78
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:31DENLawson Layup (9 PTS)76
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIARichardson Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal Layup74
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:14DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T18)74
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 6:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot74
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:39DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 6:39DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 6:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15DENAfflalo Layup (10 PTS)72
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:22MIAArroyo Layup (4 PTS)70
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 7:36DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)68
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 8:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 8:01DENMISS Nene 5' Hook Shot68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:13DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (30 PTS)68
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade Tip Shot (18 PTS)67
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot67
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 9:00DENAnthony Dunk (29 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)67
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 9:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup65
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 9:42DENGraham 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)65
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)63
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 263
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 10:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot63
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 10:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 10:25DENAnthony 12' Jump Shot (27 PTS)63
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)61
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 10:58DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 261
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 10:58DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)61
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 11:11MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)60
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 11:28DENLawson Layup (7 PTS)60
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 11:31MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)58
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 11:49DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)58
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 11:49DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)57
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA56
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 255
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)55
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)52
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 1:13DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)52
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 1:30DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:31DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot50
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:46DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot50
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHEAT Rebound50
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade 4' Turnaround Jump Shot50
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q3 - 2:10DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)50
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 2:26MIARichardson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 2:50DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)48
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIARichardson Layup (9 PTS)46
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 3:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 3:17DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 246
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 3:56DENO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)46
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 4:31DENBalkman Layup (4 PTS)46
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 4:32DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 4:33DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 4:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 244
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 4:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 4:56DENMISS Balkman 19' Jump Shot44
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)44
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 5:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 5:27DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 5:33DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 5:34DENO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)44
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 5:49MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)44
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 6:07DENBillups Layup (6 PTS)44
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 6:22MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)42
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 6:40DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)42
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAChalmers Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)42
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 6:56DENBalkman Foul Turnover (P1.T16)42
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)42
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 7:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 7:14DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot42
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 7:26DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot42
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q3 - 7:42DENMISS Nene Layup42
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q3 - 7:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 7:58MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 8:13DENBalkman Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)40
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q3 - 8:45DENNene Running Dunk (11 PTS)40
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 9:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 9:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 9:24DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot38
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 10:05DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T15)38
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 10:24MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 10:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q3 - 10:47DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot38
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 11:01DENNuggets Rebound38
14.4%
52
85.6%
Q3 - 11:02DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot38
13.1%
52
86.9%
Q3 - 11:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 11:19DENBeasley STEAL (2 STL)38
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound38
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 238
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 238
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)38
24.3%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 1:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot38
30.1%
45
69.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
36.8%
43
63.2%
Q2 - 2:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade Alley Oop Dunk38
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 2:25DENAnthony 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)38
35.1%
43
64.9%
Q2 - 2:46MIAChalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
32.3%
43
67.7%
Q2 - 2:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
35.1%
41
64.9%
Q2 - 2:53DENWade BLOCK (1 BLK)36
36.0%
41
64.0%
Q2 - 3:13DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot36
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 3:32DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
35.4%
41
64.6%
Q2 - 3:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
30.4%
41
69.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot33
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot33
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 3:50DENChalmers STEAL (1 STL)33
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal 19' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)33
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 4:29DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)33
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 4:53DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot33
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 5:12MIABeasley Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
42.1%
37
57.9%
Q2 - 5:16DENBeasley STEAL (1 STL)33
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 5:38DENBillups Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T10)33
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)33
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 5:57DENAfflalo Layup (6 PTS)33
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)31
48.3%
33
51.7%
Q2 - 6:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
44.9%
33
55.1%
Q2 - 6:08DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot31
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 6:31MIAAnthony Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
48.3%
33
51.7%
Q2 - 6:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup31
53.0%
31
47.0%
Q2 - 6:42DENWright STEAL (1 STL)31
50.7%
31
49.3%
Q2 - 6:58MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T10)31
54.1%
31
45.9%
Q2 - 7:09DENBillups Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)31
51.0%
31
49.0%
Q2 - 7:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
54.0%
31
46.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 231
53.6%
31
46.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 231
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 7:48DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)31
51.0%
31
49.0%
Q2 - 8:05MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 8:15DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
49.1%
29
50.9%
Q2 - 8:20MIAAnthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)28
51.0%
29
49.0%
Q2 - 8:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Haslem Dunk28
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q2 - 8:48DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 8:48DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
48.0%
29
52.0%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)26
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 9:17DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)26
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)26
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 9:51DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T6)26
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 10:14DENAnthony Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)26
48.0%
27
52.0%
Q2 - 10:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot26
50.0%
27
50.0%
Q2 - 10:48DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)26
48.0%
27
52.0%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHaslem Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q2 - 10:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot23
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 11:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot23
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 11:18DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 11:18DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
44.9%
25
55.1%
Q2 - 11:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Andersen Layup21
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 11:20DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q2 - 11:21DENMISS Afflalo Reverse Layup21
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)21
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
45.5%
23
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound21
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 40' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot21
46.4%
23
53.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)21
47.8%
23
52.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 220
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot20
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 1:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.6%
21
51.4%
Q1 - 1:11DENMISS Afflalo 23' Jump Shot20
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)20
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 1:57DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)20
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 2:41DENNene Dunk (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)18
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
46.3%
19
53.7%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHEAT Rebound16
48.5%
17
51.5%
Q1 - 3:15DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 3:44MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
50.9%
17
49.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot16
56.1%
14
43.9%
Q1 - 4:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot16
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 4:29DENAnthony Layup (10 PTS)16
55.1%
14
44.9%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)14
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 4:43DENWade STEAL (2 STL)14
50.6%
14
49.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)14
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 5:20DENAnthony Driving Layup (8 PTS)14
56.8%
11
43.2%
Q1 - 5:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 5:34DENNuggets Rebound12
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 5:35DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot12
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 5:46DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot12
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 6:00DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)12
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 6:35DENNene Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 6:52DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 6:52DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 7:04DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 7:14DENO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)8
44.3%
11
55.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 7:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 7:44DENAnthony Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
48.4%
9
51.6%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:58DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot6
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 8:04DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Richardson Finger Roll Layup6
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 8:20DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 8:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 8:54DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot4
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 10:08DENBillups 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 10:27MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 10:39DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:58DENWade STEAL (1 STL)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 11:14MIARichardson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 11:39DENAnthony Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
52.7%
0
47.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
33
70%
MIA
11
21
52%
Midrange
DEN
9
26
35%
MIA
20
37
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
18
24
75%
MIA
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3058%15.0 / 26
A. Afflalo1864%9.0 / 14
Nene1169%5.5 / 8
T. Lawson1155%5.5 / 10
C. Billups638%3.0 / 8
R. Balkman675%3.0 / 4
J. Graham4100%2.0 / 2
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
A. Carter0-0.0 / 5
K. Martin0-0.0 / 1
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2250%11.0 / 22
J. O'Neal1869%9.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1689%8.0 / 9
Q. Richardson1343%6.5 / 15
U. Haslem1146%5.5 / 12
M. Beasley744%3.5 / 8
C. Arroyo467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
71
+12
-19
83
MIA
74
+16
-17
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
106.7
DEN 97.8 +7.7
MIA 105.5
Pace
94.7
89.6
DEN 103.8 +23.6
MIA 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.5
DEN 13.9 +4.1
MIA 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
49.6%
DEN 48.6%
MIA 53.3% +4.7%
TO %
14.2%
13.6%
DEN 18.7%
MIA 17.4% +1.3%
ORB %
26.1%
26.0%
DEN 22.9%
MIA 35.0% +12.1%
FTrt
37.6
29.6
DEN 33.3 +1.3
MIA 32.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
51.9%
DEN 29.4%
MIA 43.2% +13.8%
STL %
8.7%
8.1%
DEN 11.1% +3.4%
MIA 7.7%
BLK %
7.9%
9.4%
DEN 3.4%
MIA 8.5% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.1%
DEN 53.0%
MIA 53.3% +0.3%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.0%
DEN 69.7% +17.3%
MIA 52.4%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.8%
DEN 34.6%
MIA 54.1% +19.5%
3P %
35.9%
34.6%
DEN 15.4%
MIA 35.3% +19.9%
FT %
77.2%
75.2%
DEN 75.0% +8.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
29.8%
DEN 45.8% +17.8%
MIA 28.0%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
48.3%
DEN 36.1% +13.2%
MIA 49.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
21.9%
DEN 18.1%
MIA 22.7% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes20.827.2
Points8896
Rebounds3441
Assists1016
Steals107
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)27 (2)
Field Goals34-7237-75
At-the-Rim FG23-3311-21
Midrange FG9-2620-37
2-Point FG32-5931-58
3-Point FG2-136-17
Free Throws18-2416-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
37.0
30
58%
8
2
1
0
5
3
2
6
6-10
60%
12-20
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
30.9
6
38%
0
2
2
0
5
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
30.0
11
69%
8
0
1
0
3
4
0
8
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
19.1
0
0%
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
11.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
28.9
18
64%
4
2
1
0
3
5
0
4
3-5
60%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
23.6
11
55%
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
21.3
2
50%
3
0
0
2
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
15.1
6
75%
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
13.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
#5 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
53%
34
10
10
2
19
0
8
26
18-24
75%
32-59
54%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.