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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks46%9787
28Timberwolves54%9972
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
28.8
29.7
6
34%
4
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.9
27.9
31.2
17
54%
10
4
2
1
1
3
4
6
1-4
25%
8-13
5-9
62%
53%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
27.6
21.3
6
38%
4
1
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.3
27.4
28.8
12
82%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-3
67%
5-6
5-10
83%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.1
27.3
33.3
9
28%
6
3
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-12
5-12
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
22.6
13.3
16
81%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
19.2
6.7
6
34%
5
1
1
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
17.7
25.2
2
17%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
16.1
11.6
5
63%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
14.6
12.9
6
68%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
6.3
6.2
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
4.6
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.7
37.1
34.1
13
55%
3
3
2
2
2
5
1
2
3-4
75%
2-5
5-11
40%
43%
2-5
40%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.8
35.4
32.9
8
27%
8
2
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-6
33%
3-12
9-17
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.7
33.0
26.1
20
55%
4
1
3
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
9-14
3-7
64%
45%
0-3
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
27.9
31.8
8
62%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
5-10
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.9
24.6
22.4
2
17%
9
1
0
1
2
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
20.0
16.0
6
60%
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
17.3
12.2
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
15.0
21.2
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
13.3
13.2
4
41%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.8
8.7
10.2
3
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
4.6
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
3.3
2.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.2
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.5
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.