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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs36%9484
8Trail Blazers64%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
36.5
26.7
19
58%
5
2
3
1
1
0
1
4
5-8
63%
7-10
3-7
70%
46%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.5
35.5
28.7
14
41%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
4-7
57%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
24.1
9.6
5
63%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
12.6
19.6
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
11.4
28.9
4
41%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
7-13
25%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
32.5
21.7
8
58%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
28.0
24.9
17
50%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
49%
2-7
29%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
22.7
19.5
5
36%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
14.3
18.3
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
12.3
18.6
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.5
10.1
20.6
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
5.8
0
0-1
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.0
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.7
38.1
26.5
15
86%
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
36.2
38.4
24
65%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
5-8
63%
8-12
7-13
67%
49%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
33.9
31.9
8
37%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
6-13
30%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.6
33.4
24.5
10
43%
6
4
2
1
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.8
25.1
21.1
14
71%
8
0
0
0
4
2
2
6
2-2
100%
6-9
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.1
23.5
24.6
9
50%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.1
18.2
18.5
4
41%
13
0
0
0
1
0
6
7
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
13.1
26.8
4
41%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.6
11.8
20.2
3
28%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
5.3
2.3
5
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
1.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.